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                 Cox Associates: Superior Business Decisions through Better Data Analysis

LOUIS ANTHONY COX, JR., PH.D

Education Academic Experience             Consulting Experience                    Industry Experience
Professional Activities                              Patents                                            Publications

WORK HISTORY

1986 - Present President, Cox Associates.

Cox Associates is an independent Denver-based consulting company specializing in health, safety, and environmental risk analysis, applied statistical decision analysis, and operations research modeling for public- and private-sector clients. Cox Associates develops and applies quantitative risk analysis models, decision analysis software, and advanced artificial intelligence and computational statistics techniques. We model risks and uncertainties to measurably improve client decision-making. Since 1986, Cox Associates has provided health and safety risk models for a variety of chemicals and chemical carcinogens. Starting in 1996, the company has also applied quantitative risk analysis and risk management techniques to business and engineering decision problems for telecommunications clients.

1987 - 1996 Senior Director, U S WEST Advanced Technologies (USWAT), Boulder, Colorado.

Senior Director/General Manager, U S West Advanced Technologies (USWAT), Boulder, Colorado. Headed Business and Engineering Modeling, Communications Services Research, and Network Architecture divisions; managed twelve director areas, budget of over $11M, and over 100 professional engineers and scientists in the areas of optoelectronics, broadband network architectures and technologies, mathematical and statistical modeling, network economics and performance analysis, wireless architecture and engineering, network evolution, product test and development, standards, international projects, digital signal processing applications, network optimization, and breakthrough projects.

1980 - 1986 Manager, Applied Decision Sciences practice area; Senior Consultant in Operations Research, Arthur D. Little, Inc., Cambridge, MA

1978 - 1979 Senior Research Associate, American Institutes for Research in the Social and Behavioral Sciences (AIR), Washington, D.C. and Cambridge, MA

Dr. Cox is also currently an Adjunct Full Professor of Mathematics at the University of Colorado at Denver, where he lectures on topics in biomathematics, biostatistics, quantitative risk assessment, and telecommunications operations research.

EDUCATION

1986 - Present Professional courses and seminars in biomathematics, molecular and cell biology and toxicology, epidemiology, applied statistics, operations research, digital signal processing, image processing, and mathematical optimization.

1993 Stanford Executive Program, Stanford Business School

1985 - 1986 M.I.T., Ph.D. in Risk Analysis, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science. Dissertation: "Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement"

1983 - 1985 M.I.T., S.M. in Operations Research, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science

1979 - 1983 Harvard University, graduate courses in applied mathematics, theoretical and applied statistics, psychometrics, and decision sciences

1975-1978 Harvard University, A.B. (Mathematical Economics)

ACADEMIC EXPERIENCE

Graduate Courses Taught:

· Decision and Risk Analysis, University of Colorado at Boulder, 1993

· Statistics for Business, Denver University Graduate School of Business, 1987-88

· Social Decision and Risk Management, Harvard University Extension School, 1986

Professional Courses Taught:

· "Bayesian methods for assessing uncertain exposures" section of Workshop on Probabilistic Methods for Risk Assessment. Society for Risk Analysis, Phoenix, Az, December 6th, 1998.

· Advances in Wireless Technology and Statistical Signal Processing, Denver University, University College, 1997

· "Introduction to decision analysis for risk management," United States Department of Agriculture's APHIS Introductory Risk Analysis course, University of Maryland Conference Center, July 9, 1992.

· "Risk Assessment Modeling," one-day short course given at the United States Department of Agriculture Training Center, APHIS Risk Assessment Course, Fort Collins, CO, July 23-24, 1992.

· "Technical Risk Communication," one-day short-course given at the Greenbelt Marriott Hotel, APHIS Advanced Risk Communication Course, Greenbelt, MD, August 20, 1992.

Dissertations Supervised

Since 1990, Dr. Cox has served on thesis committees at the University of Denver (S.M. thesis on genetic algorithms) and the University of Colorado (S.M. thesis on innovations in voice messaging; Ph.D. thesis on classification tree methods for learning stochastic flow causal forecasting models from data.)

Research Collaborations

At U S WEST Advanced Technologies, Dr. Cox initiated and led collaborative research projects with top researchers at many universities, including

· Harvard University (projects on combinatorial optimization and on interactive mixed natural language and graphics dialogue interfaces, with Professor Barbara Grosz)

· Columbia University (dynamic traffic routing with Professor David Yao)

· Syracuse University (machine comprehension of scientific abstracts)

· Oregon Graduate Institute (breakthroughs in neural net and digital signal processing technologies for automated speech recognition with Professor Ron Cole).

In 1992, his collaboration with mathematicians at the University of Colorado at Denver on combinatorial optimization heuristics for network routing was selected by the Colorado Advanced Software Institute (CASI) as one of only two projects (out of 30) that exemplified this state-funded Institute's major goals: outstanding industry-university technical research with high commercial value. In 1993 and 1994, his collaborations with UCD on new data mining algorithms and pattern recognition techniques for risk analysis and fault diagnosis algorithms were the only projects to receive CASI's award.

Recent Conference Sessions Chaired

Dr. Cox has recently chaired conference sessions on

· Forecasting and Economics (INFORMS Telecommunications Conference, 1998)

· Stochastic Optimization (Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 1996)

· Planning Heuristics for Telecommunications Networks (INFORMS, 1996).

In the past he has chaired INFORMS conference sessions on

· Risk and Uncertainty

· AI Heuristics for Optimization

· Heuristic Optimization for Process Improvement

· Cluster chair for sessions on "Heuristic Optimization and Learning" (1994).

He has also chaired sessions on

· Dose-Response Relationships

· Uncertainty Analysis

and related topics at Society for Risk Analysis annual conferences.

Other Academic Experience

Dr. Cox served on the Industry Advisory Board of the Mathematics Department at the University of Colorado at Denver from 1987-1992. He has given invited lectures on advanced topics in risk analysis, telecommunications engineering and management, and computer science to faculties and graduate seminars at many top universities. He is a frequent reviewer for operations research journals, is on the Editorial Board of Risk Analysis: An International Journal and is Co-Editor of the Journal of Heuristics, which he helped to found in 1995. He has reviewed many academic research proposals for the National Science Foundation's Decision, Risk, and Management Science program and SBIR technology proposals for NSF and other agencies. He lectures frequently on biomathematics and cancer risk modeling at the University of Colorado at Denver, and co-taught a short-course on Biologically-Based Risk Assessment at the Society for Risk Analysis in 1991.

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CONSULTING EXPERIENCE

Examples of statistics and risk analysis consulting projects completed by Dr. Cox in the past decade include the following:

HEALTH, SAFETY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL RISK ANALYSIS

· Created a new design for a backhaul network in Colorado that saved AT&T Wireless over 20% on their monthly backhaul charges. The new design, based on large-scale integer programming optimization, re-assigned traffic to hubs and recommended adding two new hubs to reduce system costs.

· For Sprint PCS, analyzed market demand forecasts and switching and interconnect costs. Created a 20-period network growth and capacity planning and optimization model. Identified a way to save over $1M (approximately 10%) of network capital expenses for a small city by reconfiguring the initial choice of switch modules to allow a more efficient capacity expansion growth path. This capacity planning model has been used at SPRINT/Cox California PCS since 1996.

· For Cox California PCS, created a backhaul network optimization program, solved via a new genetic algorithm, that reduced monthly backhaul costs by over 10% through more efficient of digital circuits to hubs and more economical use of SONET facilities.

· For PrimeCo Personal Communications Services, Ltd., created an optimization model of Multi-Channel Controller Card assignment and inventory management to reduce the costs of expanding network capacity through base station capacity upgrades.

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PREVIOUS INDUSTRY EXPERIENCE

Before starting Cox Associates in 1986, Dr. Cox consulted in health and safety risk analysis, operations research, computer science, and econometrics for Arthur D. Little, Inc. He managed a multimillion dollar artificial intelligence risk analysis software development project for the U S Air Force and led cases covering environmental fate and transport modeling of pollutants, risk analyses for transportation and processing facilities, reliability modeling of complex systems, and a variety of product development, insurance, R&D, computer security, and electric utility applications. He also acted as expert statistician and economist in support of several contract, tort, and administrative law cases. In 1984, Dr. Cox won Arthur D. Little's Presidential Award for outstanding contributions to the development of R&D planning and risk assessment methodologies for the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). Prior to joining Arthur D. Little, Inc., he worked in societal risk analysis and applied statistics at the American Institutes for Research (AIR), where he co-authored a book, featured on Good Morning America in 1979 and still widely cited today, on the effects of court sanctions on the risks of chronic delinquent behavior.

OTHER TECHNOLOGY EXPERTISE

Dr. Cox was U S WEST Advanced Technologies' expert on artificial intelligence and digital signal processing technologies, emphasizing pattern recognition, spoken language understanding, and machine-learning applications. He has appeared on CNN (August, 1991) and has been interviewed by KGNU Radio (October, 1994), the Wall Street Journal (May 18, 1992), Newsweek (October 6, 1992), and various newspapers (1995, 1996) about profitable business applications of these and related technologies. He frequently represented U S WEST to regulators and utility commissions in explaining the purpose, value, and accomplishments of U S WEST's work these areas.

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PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES

Professional Societies

· Full member of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). (Full membership recognizes professional and academic achievements in operations research.)

· Fellow of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA). (Fellowship recognizes lifetime contributions to the field of risk analysis)

· Full member of the American Statistical Association. (Full membership recognizes academic and research achievements in statistics.)

· AAAS member

Positions Held

· Secretary and co-founder, New England Chapter of the SRA, 1985-86

· Counselor, Rocky Mountain Chapter of the SRA, 1990-1991

· Elected as one of two Counselors for the 400-member ORSA Special Interest Group on Telecommunications, 1992

· Member of the International Life Sciences Institute's (ILSI's) Risk Science Institute Cancer Dose-Response Working Group in 1991-1992.

Awards and Honors

· Elected Full Member of the Operations Research Society of America, 1990

· Elected Full Member of the American Statistical Association, 1992

· Elected to the New York Academy of Sciences, 1992

· Fellow of the Society for Risk Analysis, 1993

· ORSA Prize, 1994

At U S WEST Dr. Cox also received many awards, including, in 1994, the Operations Research Society of America's prestigious ORSA Prize, awarded annually to the company in the world that has best applied operations research methods in innovative ways that have had profound business impact. In 1991 Dr. Cox won U S WEST's Special Achievement Award for developing new approaches to business risk analysis that are now widely applied by U S WEST International. In 1992, he won the prestigious U S WEST's Chairman's Award and two Special Achievement Awards for innovations in network design credited with saving U S WEST over $100M. In 1994, Dr. Cox won U S WEST's new President's Club and Circle of Excellence Awards for innovations in probabilistic analysis of customer choice behavior.

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In the past five years, Dr. Cox has successfully applied risk analysis, statistical decision theory, and optimization principles to several fields in innovative ways. He is inventor or co-inventor of the following innovations.

· Method and system for creating and using acoustic bullet points in voice messages. Filed 1Q-97.

· Method and system for linguistic command processing. Filed December 14, 1995.

· Method for adaptive filtering of noise from cellular speech signals. Filed 1Q-96.

Books

Cox, L.A., and P.F. Ricci (eds), New Risks: Issues and Management. Plenum Press, New York, 1990.

Murray, C.A., and L.A. Cox, Jr., Beyond Probation: Juvenile Corrections and the Chronic Delinquent. Sage Publications, Beverly Hills, CA, 1979.

Articles and Chapters

Cox, L.A., Jr., 1999. A biomathematical model of hematotoxicity. Environment International, 25, 6/7, September, 805-817.

Cox, L.A., Jr., 1999. Internal dose, uncertainty analysis, and complexity of risk models. Environment International, 25, 6/7, September, 841-852.

Cox, L.A., Jr., 1999. Optimal adaptive sampling of contaminated soils. Forthcoming in Risk Analysis. (Accepted 10-98).

Cox, L.A., Jr., K. Paige, D. Popken, 1999. Software review of Analytica 1.2. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 5, 2, 305-316.

Cox, L.A., Jr., and J.R. Sanchez, 1999. Designing least-cost survivable wireless backhaul networks. Forthcoming in Journal of Heuristics. (Accepted 2-99)

Chiu, S.Y., L.A. Cox, Jr., X. Sun, 1999. Optimal sequential inspections of reliability systems subject to parallel-chain precedence constraints. Discrete Applied Mathematics (forthcoming).

Lu, L., SY Chiu, and LA Cox, Jr. 1999. "Optimal project selection: Stochastic knapsack with finite time horizon". Journal of the Operational Research Society. 50, 645-650.

Fraughnaugh, K., J. Ryan, H. Zullo, L.A. Cox, Jr., 1998. Heuristics for efficient classification. Annals of Operations Research, 78, 189-200.

Chiu, S.Y., L.A. Cox, Jr., X. Sun, 1998. "Optimal sequential inspections of reliability systems subject to parallel-chain precedence constraints". Discrete Applied Mathematics (forthcoming).

Davis, L., L.A. Cox, Jr., W.E. Kuehner, L. Lu, D. Orvosh, 1997. Dynamic hierarchical packing of wireless switches using a seed, repair, and replace genetic algorithm. Journal of Heuristics, 3, 3, 187-206.

Cox, L.A., Jr., 1997. Does diesel exhaust cause human lung cancer? Risk Analysis, 17, 6, 807-829.

Cox, L.A., Jr., 1996. Reassessing benzene risks using internal doses and Monte-Carlo uncertainty analysis. Environmental Health Perspectives, 104, Supplement 6, 1413-1429.

Cox, L.A., Jr., 1996. Using causal knowledge to learn more useful decision rules from data. Chapter 2 in D. Fisher and H.-J. Lenz (eds), Learning from Data: AI and Statistics V. Springer-Verlag, 1996.

Cox, L.A., Jr., 1996. More accurate estimates of dose-response functions using Monte-Carlo uncertainty analysis: The Data Cube approach." Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 2, 1, 146-170.

Cox, L.A., Jr., and G. Bell, 1996. A machine-learning approach to process improvement in a telecommunications company. Annals of Operations Research, 65, 21-34.

Cox, L.A., Jr., M.G. Bird, and L. Griffis, 1996. "Isoprene cancer risk and the time pattern of dose administration." Toxicology, 113, 263-272.

Cox, L.A., Jr., L. Davis, L. Lu, D. Orvosh, X. Sun, D. Sirovica, 1996. "Reducing costs of backhaul networks for PCS companies using genetic algorithms." Journal of Heuristics, 2, 1-16.

Cox, L.A., Jr., S. Chiu, and X. Sun. "Least-cost failure diagnosis in uncertain reliability systems". Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 54, 2-3, 203-316, 1996.

Chiu, S., L. Lu, and L.A. Cox, Jr. "Optimal access control for broadband services: Stochastic knapsack with advance information". European Journal of Operational Research, 89, 127-134, 1996.

Placke, M.E., L. Griffis, M. Bird, J. Bus, R.L. Persing, L.A. Cox, Jr.."Chronic inhalation oncogenicity study of isoprene in B6C3F1 mice." Toxicology, 110, 253-262, 1996.

Schnatter, A.R., M.G. Bird, L.A. Cox, Jr., and R.F. Herrick, "Defining optimal exposure assessment methods and metrics for epidemiologic studies exposures of petroleum distribution workers to benzene." Occupational Hygiene, 155-160, 1996.

Sun, X., Qiu, Y., and Cox, L.A., Jr. "A hill-climbing approach to construct near-optimal decision trees." in D. Fisher and H.-J. Lenz (eds), Learning from Data: AI and Statistics V. Springer-Verlag, 1996.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Simple relations between administered and internal doses in compartmental flow models," Risk Analysis, 15, 2, 197-204, 1995.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "An exact analysis of the multistage model explaining dose-response concavity," Risk Analysis, 15, 3, 359-368, 1995.

Grover, R.W., and L.A. Cox, Jr., "Dynamic site portfolio remediation optimization model," Hazardous Waste Strategies Update, 6, 4, 31 - 39, 1995.

Cox, L.A., Jr., and Y. Qiu. "Optimal inspection and repair of renewable coherent systems with independent components and constant failure rates," Naval Research Logistics, 41, 771-788, 1994.

Cox, L.A., Jr., and Y. Qiu, "Minimizing the expected costs of classifying patterns by sequential costly inspections," in P. Cheeseman and R.W. Olford (eds), Selecting Models from Data. Springer-Verlag, Lecture Notes in Statistics, Volume 89, pp. 339-350. New York, 1994.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Knowledge acquisition for model building," International Journal of Intelligent Systems, 8, 1, 91-104, 1993.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Combining the probability judgements of experts: Statistical and artificial intelligence approaches", Chapter 26 in D.J. Hand (ed), Artificial Intelligence Frontiers in Statistics. Chapman and Hall, 1993.

Cox, L.A., Jr., W. Kuehner, S.H. Parrish, and Y. Qiu, 1993. "Optimal expansion of fiber-optic telecommunications networks in metropolitan areas," Interfaces, 23, 2, 35-48, March-April, 1993.

Davis, L.D., Y. Qiu, L.A. Cox, Jr., and D. Orvosh, "A genetic algorithm for survivable network design", Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Genetic Algorithms. Morgan Kaufmann, 1993.

Qiu, Y., and L.A. Cox, Jr., "Heuristic testing procedures for general coherent systems," European Journal of Operational Research, 69, 65-74, 1993.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Extending the stochastic two-stage model of carcinogenesis to include self-regulation of the non-malignant cell population," Risk Analysis, 12, 1, 129-138, 1992.

Cox, L.A., Jr., and P.F. Ricci, "Reassessing benzene cancer risks using internal doses," Risk Analysis, 12, 3, 401-410, 1992.

Cox, L.A., Jr., and P.F. Ricci, "Dealing with uncertainty: From health risk assessment to environmental decision making," Journal of Energy Engineering, 118, 2, 77-94, 1992.

Cox, L.A., Jr., Y. Qiu, and L. Davis, "Guess-and-verify heuristics for reducing uncertainties in expert classification systems," in D. Dubois et al (eds), Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence. Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo, CA, 1992.

Parrish, S.H., L.A. Cox, Jr., Y. Qiu, and W. Kuehner, 1992. "Planning for optimal expansion of leased line communication networks," Annals of Operations Research, 36, 347-364.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Biological basis of carcinogenesis: Insights from benzene," Risk Analysis, 11, 3, 453-464, 1991.

Cox, L.A., L. Davis, and Y. Qiu, 1991. "Dynamic anticipatory routing in circuit-switched telecommunications networks," pages 124-143 in L. Davis (ed), Handbook of Genetic Algorithms. McGraw-Hill, New York

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Knowledge-based resolution of conflicting expert opinions," J. Applied Statistics, 18, 1, 23-34, 1991.

Hermansky, H., and Cox, L.A., Jr., "Perceptual linear predictive (PLP) analysis-resynthesis technique," Eurospeech 91, 2nd European Conference on Speech Communication and Technology. Genoa, Italy, September, 1991.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Uncertain temporal logics for risk analysis," pp 1-13 in B.J. Garrick and W.C. Gekler (eds), The Analysis, Communication, and Perception of Risk. (Volume 8 in Advances in Risk Assessment series.) Plenum Press, New York, 1991.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Extending biologically-based cancer risk modeling to apply to benzene-induced leukemogenesis," in B.J. Garrick and W.C. Gekler (eds), The Analysis, Communication, and Perception of Risk. Plenum Press, New York, 1991.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Assessing cancer risks: From statistical to biological models," J. Energy Engineering, 116, 3, 189-210, 1990

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Incorporating statistical information into expert classification systems to reduce classification costs," Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence, 2, 93-108, 1990.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Pragmatic information-seeking strategies in expert classification systems," in D. Brown and C. White (eds), Operations Research and Artificial Intelligence: The Integration of Problem-Solving Strategies. Kluwer, New York, 1990.

Cox, L.A., Jr., and P.F. Ricci, "Health risk assessment: Production of electricity," J. Energy Engineering, 116, 3, 130-147, 1990.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "A probabilistic risk assessment program for analyzing security risks," pp 331-340 in L.A. Cox, Jr., and P.F. Ricci (eds), New Risks: Issues and Management. Plenum Press, New York, 1990.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Managing uncertain risks through 'intelligent' classification: A combined artificial intelligence/ decision analysis approach," pp 473-482 in J.J. Bonin and D.E. Stevenson (eds), Risk Assessment in Setting National Priorities. Plenum Press, New York, 1989.

Cox, L.A., and P.F. Ricci, "Legal and philosophical aspects of risk analysis," Chapter 30 in D.J. Paustenbach (ed), The Risk Assessment of Environmental and Human Health Hazards: A Textbook of Case Studies. Wiley, New York, 1017-1046, 1989

Cox, L.A., and P.F. Ricci, "Risk, uncertainty, and causation: Quantifying human health risks." Chapter 2 in D.J. Paustenbach (ed), The Risk Assessment of Environmental and Human Health Hazards: A Textbook of Case Studies. Wiley, New York, 1989, 125-157.

Cox, L.A., Jr., Y. Qiu, and W. Kuehner, "Heuristic least-cost computation of discrete classification functions with uncertain argument values," Annals of Operations Research, 21, 1-30, 1989.

Ricci, P.F., L.A. Cox, Jr., and J.P. Dwyer, "Acceptable cancer risks: Probabilities and beyond," J. Air Pollution Control Association (JAPCA), 39, 8, 1046-1053, 1989.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Comparative risk measures for heterogeneous populations," in A. Woodhead, M.A. Bender, and R.C. Leonard (eds), Phenotypic Variations in Populations: Relevance to Risk Assessment. Plenum Press, New York, 1988.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Statistical issues in the estimation of assigned shares for carcinogenesis liability," Risk Analysis, 7, 1, 71-80, 1987.

Ricci, P.F., and L.A. Cox, Jr., "Acceptability of chronic health risks," Toxics Law Reporter, 1, 35, 986-1001, 1987.

Ricci, P.F., L.A. Cox, Jr., and M. Baram, "De minimis considerations in health risk assessment," J. Hazardous Materials, 15, 1987.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Technical and policy issues in assigned share calculations: A comment on Lagakos and Mosteller," Risk Analysis, 6, 3, 373-376, 1986

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Theory of regulatory benefits assessment: Econometric and expressed preference approaches," Chapter 5, pages 85-159 in J.D. Bentkover et al. (eds), Benefits Assessment: The State of the Art. Reidel, Boston, 1986.

Cummings, R.G., L.A. Cox, Jr., and A. Myrick Freeman, III, "General methods for benefits assessment," Chapter 6 in J.D. Bentkover et al (eds), Benefits Assessment: The State of the Art. Reidel, Boston, 1986.

Fischoff, B., and L.A. Cox, Jr., "Conceptual framework for regulatory benefits assessment," Chapter 4 in J.D. Bentkover et al. (eds), Benefits Assessment: The State of the Art. Reidel, Boston, 1986.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "A new measure of attributable risk for public health applications," Management Science, 31, 7, 800-814, 1985

Cox, L.A., Jr., and I. Plotkin, "The economic foundations of limited liability for nuclear reactor accidents," in The Price-Anderson Law: Six Reports on Price-Anderson Issues. American Nuclear Insurers and Liability Underwriters, Hartford, Connecticut, 1985.

Cox, L.A., Jr., and J. Fiksel, "A critical review of the probability of causation method," in The Price-Anderson Law: Six Reports on Price-Anderson Issues. American Nuclear Insurers and Liability Underwriters, Hartford, Connecticut, 1985.

Fiksel, J., and L.A. Cox, Jr., "The process analysis approach," in P.F. Ricci and M.D. Rowe (eds), Assessing Health Impacts of Energy Technologies at the National and Regional Levels. Pergamon Press, New York, 1984.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Probability of causation and the attributable proportion of risk". Risk Analysis, 4, 221-230, 1984.

Cox, L.A., Jr., and J. Fiksel. "Quantifying the causes of cancer". Letter to the Editor, Risk Management, July, 1984.

Cox, L.A., Jr., J. Fiksel, A.S. Kalelkar, and P.F. Ricci. Occupational risks of energy production. Nuclear Safety, 24, 4, 459-470, 1983.

Fiksel, J., L.A. Cox, Jr., D.L. Richardson, and A. Adamantiades, "Selection of nuclear safety R&D projects through value-impact analysis," Nuclear Safety, 24, 1, 1983.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Artifactual uncertainty in risk analysis," Risk Analysis, 2, 3, 1982.

Murray, C.A., and L.A. Cox, Jr., "The suppression effect and the institutionalization of children," pp 653-666 in L. Sechrest (ed), Evaluation Studies Review Annual, Volume 4. Sage Publications, Beverly Hills, CA, 1979.

PUBLISHED CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Causal mechanisms and classification trees for predicting chemical carcinogens." In David Heckerman and Joe Whittaker (editors). Proceedings of the Seventh International Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, Inc., San Francisco, CA, 1999. http://uncertainty99.microsoft.com/proceedings.htm

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Using classification trees to improve causal inferences in observational studies". Preliminary Papers of the Sixth International Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics. 1997.

Cox, L.A., Jr., Dose-response relationships and benzene toxicology in Proceedings of The Toxicology Forum, 22nd Annual Winter Meeting. Toxicology Forum, Inc., 1997.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "PM 2.5 and diesel exhaust health risks: Statistical vs. causal associations". Proceedings of the U. California, Riverside and The California Trucking Association Conference on Meeting the Environmental Challenge of the 21st Century. World Truck Conference, Treasure Island Resort Hotel, Las Vegas, Nevada. May 13-15, 1997.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Learning approximately optimal planning trees from complex multivariate data sets with the help of a causal theory", in I.H. Osman and J. Kelly (eds), Proceedings of the Metaheuristics International Conference. Kluwer, Norwell, MA., pp 287-294, 1995.

Cox, L.A., Jr., X. Sun, and Y. Qiu, "Optimal and heuristic search for a hidden object in one dimension." Proceedings of the 1994 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics. Volume 2. San Antonio, Texas, October 2-5, 1994.

Qiu, Y., and L.A. Cox, Jr., "Optimal search for failed components in renewable coherent systems," Proceedings of the 1994 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Volume 2. San Antonio, Texas, October 2-5, 1994.

Davis, L.D., Y. Qiu, L.A. Cox, Jr., and D. Orvosh, "A genetic algorithm for survivable network design", Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Genetic Algorithms. Morgan Kaufmann, 1993.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Heuristic approaches to dynamic path assignment," in Proceedings of the First International Workshop on Operations Research in Telecommunications, Boca Rotan, Florida, March, 1990.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "Designing expert classification systems that acquire expensive information optimally" in J. Boose et al (eds), Proceedings of the European Knowledge Acquisition Workshop for Knowledge-Based Systems. Gesellschaft fur Mathematik und Dataenverarbeitung MBH, GMD-Studien Nr. 143, Bonn, Germany, 1988.

Cox, L.A., and R. Blumenthal, "KRIMB: An intelligent knowledge acquisition and representation program for interactive model building," in T. Addis et al (eds), Proceedings of the First European Workshop on Knowledge Acquisition for Knowledge-Based Systems. Reading University Press, Reading, England, 1987.

Cox, L.A., Jr. and R. Blumenthal, "Dynamic planning under uncertainty using automated model construction and risk analysis," Proceedings of the 1987 Workshop on Simulation and Artificial Intelligence. Seattle, WA, 1987.

Cox, L.A., Jr., "ATAM: A personal computer modeling system for security threat assessment," Proceedings of the 2nd Annual Symposium of Physical/Electronic Security. Philadelphia Chapter, Armed Forces Communications and Electronics Association, Philadelphia, PA, 1986

ABSTRACTS

Cox, L.A., Jr., and M.B. Paxton, "A computer model of hematotoxicity explaining experimental and clinical data for cyclophosphamide and benzene". Invited poster presented at the SOT Poster/Discussion session on "Benzene -- Toxicity, Mechanisms, and Pharmacokinetics", Abstract #839. 36th Annual Meeting of the Society of Toxicology. Cincinnati Convention Center, March 11, 1997

Cox, L.A.., Jr. and F.B. Thomas, "A generic PBPK modeling tool for rapidly developing PBPK models," The Toxicologist, 12, 1, abstract # 684, p. 188, February, 1992.

Cox, L.A., Jr., M.G. Bird, W. Lampson, and S.J. Wykoff, "An expert database management tool for biological effects of chemicals," The Toxicologist, 12, 1, abstract # 1376, p. 352, February, 1992.

SELECTED MAJOR TECHNICAL REPORTS

Following Instructions. American Institutes for Research in the Social and Behavioral Sciences (AIR), Washington, D.C., 1980. (With A.M. Rose)

Development, Application, and Evaluation of a Value-Impact Methodology for Prioritization of Reactor Safety R&D Projects. EPRI Report RP-1810-2, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, CA, 1982. (with J. Fiksel and D.L. Richardson)

Methods for Risk Analysis of the Transportation of Hazardous Materials. Final Report to the Openbaar Lichman Rijnmond. Arthur D. Little, Inc., Cambridge, MA, 1982. (with A.S. Kalelkar and L.M. Bendixen)

A Workshop on Dealing with Uncertainty in Risk Analysis. Final Report to the Division of Policy Research and Analysis (PRA), National Science Foundation. Arthur D. Little, Inc., Cambridge, MA, 1983. (with H. Ojha, J. Fiksel)

PERCO: A Model for Prioritization of Environmental Risks and Control Options at Hazardous Waste Sites. Final Report to the Massachusetts Department of Environmental Quality Engineering (DEQE). Arthur D. Little, Cambridge, MA, 1983. (with J. Fiksel)

Principles for the Use of De Minimis Concepts in Risk Regulation. Final Report to the Division of Policy Research and Analysis (PRA), National Science Foundation. Arthur D. Little, Inc., Cambridge, MA, 1984. (with J. Fiksel, M.S. Baram, and J.R. Miyares)

Analysis of Routine Occupational Risks Associated with Selected Electrical Energy Systems. EPRI Report EA-4020, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, CA, 1985 (with A.S. Kalelkar and J. Fiksel)

An Automated Threat Assessment Methodology for Security Risk Analysis. Final Report to the U.S. Air Force Computer Security Program Office (AFCSPO). Arthur D. Little, Inc., Cambridge, MA, 1986.

A Conceptual Framework for Research Planning at the Health Effects Institute. Final Report to the Health Effects Institute (HEI), Arthur D. Little, Inc., Cambridge, MA, 1986.

Predictions of Future Cancer Incidence Rates Among Nuclear Power Plant Employees. Final Report to the American Nuclear Insurers and Mutual Atomic Energy Underwriters. Arthur D. Little, Inc., Cambridge, MA, 1987 (with J. Fiksel and G.S Young).

Reassessing the Internal Doses in Humans and Animals from Inhalation of Butadiene. Report to the Chemical Manufacturers Association. Cox Associates, Denver, CO, November, 1989.

New Directions in Cancer Modeling and Risk Assessment for Benzene. Final Report to the Western States Petroleum Association. Cox Associates, Denver, CO, July, 1990.

Reassessing the Risks of Chemical Carcinogens using PBPK Models: Benzene as an Example. Report to the American Petroleum Institute. Cox Associates, Denver, CO, December, 1990.

Techniques and Methodology for Dealing with Scientific Uncertainties in Biologically-Based Risk Assessment. Report to the Western States Petroleum Association. Cox Associates, Denver, CO, February, 1991.

STEM: A Data Acquisition and Management System for Exploring Biological Effects of Chemicals. Report to Exxon Biomedical Sciences, Inc. Cox Associates, Denver, CO, June, 1991.

Deterministic Biomathematical Models for Risk Modeling. Report to the API/WSPA Biologically-Based Risk Assessment Working Group. Cox Associates, Denver, CO, October, 1991.

Uncertainty Analysis of PBPK Models. Final Report to the American Industrial Health Council Delivered Dose Working Group. American Industrial Health Council, Washington, D.C., December, 1992.

Basic Biology Review and Biomathematical Modeling of Normal Blood Cell Proliferation. American Petroleum Institute, Washington, D.C., 1993.

Managing Statistical Uncertainties in PBPK Modeling. American Industrial Health Council (AIHC), Washington, D.C., October, 1993.

A Unifying Class of Linear Compartmental Flow Models of Carcinogenesis. Report to the American Industrial Health Council (AIHC). Cox Associates, Denver, CO, January, 1994.

Internal Dose and Uncertainty Analysis of Complex Risk Models. Report to the American Industrial Health Council (AIHC). Cox Associates, Denver, CO, January, 1994.

An Exact Analysis of the Multistage Model Explaining Dose-Response Concavity. Report to the American Industrial Health Council (AIHC). Cox Associates, Denver, CO, February, 1994.

Dealing with Uncertainties in a Biologically-Based Risk Assessment Model of Cyclophosphamide-Induced Leukemogenesis. American Petroleum Institute, Health and Environmental Science. Report # DR70. Washington, D.C. May, 1994.

Data Analysis and Risk Modeling of Lung Tumor Risks from Diesel Exhaust. Report to the Western States Petroleum Association. Cox Associates, Denver, CO, March, 1995.

Comments on EPA’s Proposed Decisions on Standards for Particulate Matter and Ozone. Final Report to the Engine Manufacturers Association. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. March 8, 1997. 38 pages

Technical and Policy Issues in Regulating Particulate Matter (PM) Air Pollution: An Information Primer. Draft Report to the American Petroleum Institute. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. March 31, 1997. 50 pages

U S WEST Customer Attrition Modeling: Learning to Predict Customer Attrition Risk From Data. Final Report to U S WEST Communications. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. August 14, 1997. 36 pages + Appendices

Comments On OEHHA's 1997 Draft Risk Assessment For Diesel Exhaust. Final Report to the Engine Manufacturers Association. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. August 20, 1997. 34 pages.

A Method to More Accurately Forecast Demand for Local Loop Products. Final Report to U S WEST Communications. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. September 5th, 1997. 24 pages.

Next Optimal Product Project: Optimal Statistical Matching of Product Offers to Customer Needs. Final Report to U S WEST Communications. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. December 29th, 1997. 20 pages + Appendices

TCI Customer Acquisition and Loss Model. Final Report to TCI. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. January 9th, 1998. 31 pages + Appendices

Comments On OEHHA's February, 1998 Draft Risk Assessment For Diesel Exhaust. Final Report to the Engine Manufacturers Association. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. April 13th, 1998. 47 pages.

Demographic Clusters Predicting Perceived Service Quality: Summary. Report to TCI. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. April 17th, 1998. 8 pages.

Minimizing Monthly Lease Costs in AT&T Wireless's Denver-Area Backhaul Network: Results of a Pilot Project on Cost Reduction. Report to AT&T Wireless. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. May 18th, 1998. 11 pages + Appendices

Switch Capacity and Resources: Technical Background for Forecasting. Report to U S WEST Advanced Technologies. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. July 30th, 1998. 15 pages + appendices and hyperlinks

A Statistical Decision Approach for Sampling Ordnance and Explosives. Final Report to the Army U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Huntsville, Alabama. Montgomery Watson, Inc., Salt Lake City, UT and Cox Associates, Denver, CO. September, 1998. 39 pages.

Network capacity forecasting and planning process: Results of a planning workshop. Final report to A T & T Wireless Systems, National Business Planning. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. December 30, 1998. 19 pages plus appendices.

Minimizing network facility costs via DWDM overlays: Results of a pilot project on cost reduction. Final report to Tellium. Cox Associates, Denver, CO. April 15th, 1999. 19 pages plus appendices.

SELECTED RECENT TALKS, LECTURES, AND PRESENTATIONS NOT PUBLISHED ELSEWHERE

1. "Biological bases of low-dose nonlinearity for chemical carcinogens," invited talk presented at the Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, New Orleans, Hotel Intercontinental, October 7-10, 1990.

2. "Biologically-based risk assessment," invited seminar given to the EPA and the Chemical Industry Institute of Toxicology, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, May 22, 1991.

3. "Dealing with uncertainty in PBPK modeling," presentation to the American Industrial Health Counsel (AIHC) Delivered Dose Working Group, Washington, D.C., November 14, 1991.

4. "PBPK modeling in biologically-based risk analysis," invited talk to the Houston Chapter of the Society for Risk Analysis, Houston, TX, November 20, 1991.

5. "Why offer doctoral programs in risk analysis?", invited presentation and panel discussion at the Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Baltimore, MD, December, 1991.

6. "Challenges and promises of risk assessment," invited seminar presented to the U S Department of Agriculture's APHIS program, Hyattsville, MD, January 7, 1992.

7. "Recent advances in decision analysis," invited graduate seminar presented at the University of Colorado business school, March 18, 1992.

8. "Economic research and modeling in the telecommunications industry," invited talk given at the Public Utilities Regulatory Training Institute (PURTI) visit to U S WEST Advanced Technologies, May, 1992.

12. "New methods for calculating upper confidence bounds of multistage dose-response models," invited seminar given at the California Environmental Protection Agency, Berkeley, CA, September 4, 1992.

13. "Scientific research needs in benzene risk assessment," invited presentation and panel discussion presented at the American Petroleum Institute workshop on Mechanisms of Benzene Toxicity as a Basis for Risk Assessment, Airlie Foundation, Warrenton, VA, September 21-23, 1992.

14. "Decisions with unknown consequences: A random valuation model," presented at the Society for Risk Analysis 1992 Annual Meeting, December 6-9, Hotel del Coronado, San Diego, CA, December 6-9. 1992.

15. "Relating biologically-based risk models to population data," presented at the Society for Risk Analysis 1992 Annual Meeting, December 6-9, Hotel del Coronado, San Diego, CA, December 6-9. 1992.

16. "Incorporating biological response information into risk prediction," poster presented at the Society for Risk Analysis 1992 Annual Meeting, December 6-9, Hotel del Coronado, San Diego, CA, December 6-9. 1992.

17. "Minimizing the average costs of fault diagnosis in complex systems," poster presented at the Fourth International Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, Fort Lauderdale, Florida, January 4-6, 1993.

18. "Uncertainty analysis of complex risk models: Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches" invited seminar presented at the Harvard School of Public Health, January 26, 1993.

19. "New approaches to confidence band estimation in parametric statistical models," invited seminar presented at the Environmental Protection Agency, February 8, 1993.

20. "Statistical and artificial intelligence analysis of isoprene bioassay data", talk presented at Battelle Columbus Laboratories, September 25, 1993.

21. "Optimal project selection in a stochastic funding model", talk presented (with L. Lu and Y. Qiu) at the ORSA/TIMS Joint National Meeting, Hyatt Regency, Phoenix Arizona, October 31-November 3, 1993.

22. "A biologically-based risk assessment (BBRA) model of leukemogenesis induced by cyclophosphamide", Poster presented by Dr. Mary Paxton at the workshop on Biological Mechanisms and Quantitative Risk Assessment: From Experimental Design to Risk Characterization. Research Trangle Park, North Carolna, November 1-4, 1993.

23. "Coping with uncertainties in a computer simulation model of cyclophosphamide-induced leukemogenesis," invited talk, 1993 Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis, Savannah, Georgia, December 5-8, 1993.

24. "Machine learning for uncertainty management in complex risk models", invited talk presented at The Institute of Management Sciences (TIMS) and Operations Research Society of America (ORSA) joint meeting, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Boston, Massachusetts, April 24-27, 1994.

25. "Reducing the expected costs of classification trees through local search" (presented with X. Sun and Y. Qiu), invited talk, TIMS/ORSA joint meeting, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Boston, Massachusetts, April 24-27, 1994.

26. "Planning survivable interoffice networks using SPT", (coauthored with and presented by Y. Qiu), invited talk presented at TIMS/ORSA joint meeting, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Boston, Massachusetts, April 24-27, 1994.

27. "Least-cost inspecting and repairing strategies for multicomponent systems," (with X. Sun and Y. Qiu), invited talk presented at The Institute of Management Sciences (TIMS) 1994 annual conference, University of Alaska at Anchorage, June 12-15,1994.

28. "More informative confidence limits for dose-response functions using Monte-Carlo simulation: The Data Cube approach." Invited seminar presented at the California EPA, Office of Envioronmental Health Hazard Assessment, Berkeley, CA, August 12, 1994.

29. "New frontiers in toxicology information: Technologies of the informaion superhighway." Keynote address, 21st Annual Toxicology Information Roundtable, MICROMEDEX Toxicology, Medicine, and Environmental Series, Westin Hotel at Tabor Center, Denver, Colorado, October 13, 1994.

30. "Nonlinear dose-time-response relations for chemical leukemogens: Computer simulation of the roles of cell kinetics and hematotoxicity." Invited talk presented at the Symposium on Recent Developments in Benzene Epidemiology and Toxicology. Villa Florence Hotel. San Francisco, CA. November 29-30, 1994.

31. "A simulation method for constructing more informative upper confidence limits on dose-response functions," invited talk presented at the 1994 Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis, Hyatt Regency at the Inner Harbor, Baltimore, MD, December 4-7, 1994.

32. "Nonlinear cell kinetics can explain observed anomalies in dose-time-response patterns," Poster session (presented with Dr. M.B. Paxton), 1994 Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis, Hyatt Regency at the Inner Harbor, Baltimore, MD, December 4-7, 1994.

33. "Automated visualization and discovery of predictively useful biological response profiles in complex data set" (with Dr. M. Bird), presented at the 1994 Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis, Hyatt Regency at the Inner Harbor, Baltimore, MD, December 4-7, 1994.

34. "PBPK modeling and mechanistic risk assessment: Using scientific information to improve risk assessment." Lecture given at the CACI/CDPHE Risk Assessment Workshop, Denver, CO, January 31, 1995.

35. "Reassessing benzene risks using internal doses and Monte-Carlo uncertainty analysis", invited talk presented at Benzene '95, Rutgers, New Jersey, June, 1995.

36. "Analysis of isoprene bioassay data: Risk assesment implications", invited talk presented at the International Symposium: Evaluation of Butadiene and Isoprene Health Risks", Blaine, Washington, June 27-29, 1995.

37. "Reanalyzing human lung cancer risks from diesel exhaust using a multivariate risk model", invited talk presented at the Diesel Risk Assessment Workshop, San Francisco, January 29-30, 1996.

38. "Biomathematical modeling of chemically-induced myelotoxicity and potential applications to t-AML risk modeling", invited talk presented at the University of California at Berkeley’s Workshop on Modeling Chemically-Induced Leukemia -- Implications for Benzene Risk Assessment. Yountville, CA, February 11-13, 1996. (Report on the workshop by M.T. Smith and E.W. Fanning published in Leukemia Research, 1997.)

39. "Scheduling switch replacements with randomly decreasing deadlines", with S. Chiu and Y. Lee, presented at the INFORMS Spring meeting, Washington, D.C., May 5-8, 1996.

40. "Optimal design of digital wireless networks" (with S. Chiu, J. Ryan, V. Corlew, S. Raghavan), presented by Dr. S. Chiu at IFORS Conference, Vancouver, May, 1996.

41. "A network design problem for multimedia broadband networks," presented by Dr. Cox for Dr. Y. Lee at the INFORMS Spring meeting, Washington, D.C., May 5-8, 1996.

42. "Stochastic optimization in classification trees." Fifth Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Conference on Optimization, Victoria, British Columbia, May 20-22, 1996.

43. "Using data to improve business performance: Techniques and applications", invited talk given at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) 1996 Performance Measurement Workshop. Loews Giorgio Hotel, Denver, CO. November 7, 1996.

44. "Uncertainty analysis of complex risk models," invited talk presented at the Society for Risk Analysis and International Society of Exposure Analysis, 1996 Annual Meeting, Fairmont Hotel, New Orleans, December 8-12, 1996.

45. "Decision models for uncertain hazards", invited talk presented at the Society for Risk Analysis and International Society of Exposure Analysis, 1996 Annual Meeting, Fairmont Hotel, New Orleans, December 8-12, 1996.

46. "Using classification trees to improve causal inferences in observational studies." Presented at the Sixth International Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics. Fort Lauderdale, Florida. January 4-7, 1997.

47. Testimony on health effects of particulate matter. Testimony presented on behalf of the Engine Manufacturers Association at EPA’s Public Hearings on Ozone and Particulate Matter National Ambient Air Quality Standards. Salt Lake City, January 14, 1997.

48. "Adaptive spatial sampling for improved inspection and cleanup at hazardous waste sites". Invited seminar given at AlliedSignal, Morristown, New Jersey. January 28, 1997.

49. "Dose-response relationships and benzene toxicology." Invited talk presented at the Toxicology Forum, 22nd Annual Winter Meeting. Loews L’Enfant Plaza Hotel, Washington, D.C. February 24-27, 1997.

50. "A computer model of hematotoxicity explaining experimental and clinical data for cyclophosphamide and benzene". Invited presentation, with Dr. M.B. Paxton, at the SOT Poster/Discussion session on "Benzene -- Toxicity, Mechanisms, and Pharmacokinetics", Abstract #839. 36th Annual Meeting of the Society of Toxicology. Cincinnati Convention Center, March 11, 1997.

51. "Heuristics for improved design of telecommunications networks and services". Invited lecture in graduate seminar on Advanced Topics in Optimization. University of Colorado at Boulder. April 23, 1997.

52. "Nonlinear dose-time-response models for chemical carcinogens." Invited seminar, hosted by the University of Colorado at Denver Biomathematics Seminar, Denver, Colorado. April 30, 1997.

53. "Optimal sequential inspection of complex reliability systems with uncertain structure function and component reliabilities." Invited talk, presented at the INFORMS Spring meeting, San Diego, May 4-7, 1997.

54. "An integrated business simulation model for PCS companies." Invited talk, INFORMS Spring meeting, San Diego, May 4-7, 1997. (With W. Kuehner, K. Paige, J. Parker)

55. "Optimizing PCS backhaul networks: Should wireless network engineers care?" Invited talk, presented at the INFORMS Spring meeting, San Diego, May 4-7, 1997.

56. "Optimization modeling therapy for large, disorganized companies". Invited talk, presented at the INFORMS Spring meeting, San Diego, May 4-7, 1997.

57. "PM 2.5 and diesel exhaust health risks: Statistical vs. causal associations". Invited talk presented at University of California, Riverside and The California Trucking Association Conference on Meeting the Environmental Challenge of the 21st Century. World Truck Conference, Treasure Island Resort Hotel, Las Vegas, Nevada. May 13-15, 1997.

58. "A computer model of hematotoxicity explaining experimental and clinical data." Invited seminar, hosted by the University of Colorado at Denver Biomathematics Seminar, Denver, Colorado. November 19, 1997.

59. "Toward saner site investigation and remediation strategies: An application of adaptive spatial sampling." Poster session presented at the Society for Risk Analysis 1997 Annual Meeting. Capitol Hilton Hotel, Washington, D.C., December, 1997.

60. "Directed acyclic graph algorithms for interpreting causality in ambiguous epidemiological data". Invited seminar, hosted by the University of Colorado at Denver's Biomathematics Seminar Series, Denver, Colorado. February 7th, 1998.

61. "Applied mathematics in telecommunications consulting". Invited seminar, hosted by University of Colorado at Denver's Optimization Seminar Series. http://www-math.cudenver.edu/optima/seminars.html. February 11, 1998.

62. "Dynamic hierarchical packing minimizes wireless switch capacity expansion costs." Invited talk presented at the 1998 INFORMS Telecommunications Conference, Sheraton Inn, Boca Rotan, Florida. February, 1998.

63. "More accurate forecasting of demand for telecommunications products using customer information profiles and purchase transition data." Invited talk presented at the 1998 INFORMS Telecommunications Conference, Sheraton Inn, Boca Rotan, Florida. February, 1998.

64. "Exact mathematical analysis of multistage carcinogenesis models," Invited seminar, hosted by the University of Colorado at Denver's Biomathematics Seminar Series, Denver, Colorado. April 10th, 1998.

65. "Association vs. causation: Notes and comments on EPA's draft risk assessment for diesel exhaust", presented to the Clean Air Science Advisory Committee (CASAC), Governor's Inn, Research Triangle Park, NC, May 5th, 1998.

66. "Advances in data mining: Case studies from the telecommunications industry." Invited lecture, University of Denver, Daniels School of Business, capstone course in data technologies for business applications, May 11th, 1998.

67. "Advances in biologically-based risk assessment". Invited seminar given at Exxon Biomedical Sciences, Inc., Mettlers Road, New Jersey. June 1, 1998.

68. "New methods for quantitative structure-activity and activity-activity relations in." Invited seminar given at Exxon Biomedical Sciences, Inc., Mettlers Road, New Jersey. June 1, 1998.

68. "Simulation-optimization heuristics for sampling contaminated soils." Invited presentation, Biomathematics and Statistics Seminar, University of Colorado at Denver Mathematics Department. September 24, 1998.

69. "Identifying customer demand processes from data." Presentation given (with Dr. Douglas Popken) at INFORMS 98, Seattle Convention Center, October 26th, 1998.

70. "Optimal statistical sampling of contaminated soils." Invited lecture, Seminar in Advanced Topics in Optimization, U. of Colorado at Boulder, December 2nd, 1998.

71. "Computational Bayesian methods for assessing uncertain exposures." Lecture in the 1998 Workshop on Probabilistic Methods in Risk Assessment. Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Phoenix, Arizona. December 6th, 1998.

72. "Axiomatic Definitions of Risk". Poster presented at Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Phoenix, Arizona. December 9th, 1998. http://www.sra.org/events.htm#annual

73. "A simulation-optimization approach to cost-effective sampling and cleanup of contaminated areas." Talk presented at the Society for Risk Analysis 1998 Annual Meeting, Phoenix, Arizona. December 9th, 1998. http://www.sra.org/events.htm#annual

74. "A biologically motivated model of hematotoxicity: Model overview and empirical evaluation." Presented at the Hematotoxicity Modeling Workshop, Institute of Population Health, University of Ottowa. December 15th, 1998.

75. "Causal mechanisms and classification trees for predicting chemical carcinogens." Presented (by Professor D. Fisher for L.A. Cox) at the Seventh International Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics. Fort Lauderdale, Florida. January 3-6, 1999. http://uncertainty99.microsoft.com/proceedings.htm

76. "Applied mathematics in telecommunications consulting." Invited lecture in Undergraduate Mathematics Seminar, University of Colorado at Denver, March 8th, 1999. http://www.cudenver.edu/~hgreenbe/courses/3001/S99/syllabus.html

77. "Causal data mining and modeling of customer data." Invited lecture, University of Denver, Daniels School of Business, capstone course in data technologies for business applications, April 29th, 1999.

78. "Optimal use of acquired network facilities." Invited presentation, INFORMS '99, Cincinnati Convention Center, May 3rd, 1999.

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