LOUIS ANTHONY (TONY) COX, JR., PH.D
Cox Associates,
Tony
Cox is President of Cox Associates (www.cox-associates.com), a Denver-based applied research
company specializing in quantitative health risk analysis, causal modeling,
probabilistic and statistical risk analysis, data mining, advanced analytics,
and operations research. Since 1986, Cox
Associates’ mathematicians and scientists have developed and applied computer
simulation and biomathematical models, statistical and epidemiological risk analyses,
causal data mining techniques, and operations research and artificial
intelligence risk and decision models to measurably improve health, business,
and engineering risk analysis and decision-making for public and private sector
clients. Since 1996, its sister company,
NetAdvantage, has provided operations research services and software for
telecommunications companies. In 2006,
Cox Associates was inducted into the Edelman Academy of the Institute for
Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), recognizing outstanding
real-world achievements in the practice of operations research and the
management sciences.
Dr. Cox holds a Ph.D. in Risk Analysis (1986) and an S.M. in Operations Research (1985), both from M.I.T. He has an AB from Harvard University (1978) and is a graduate of the Stanford Executive Program (1993). He is a member of the National Academies' Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications (BMSA), and has been Honorary Full Professor of Mathematics at the University of Colorado, where he has lectured on biomathematics, health risk modeling, computational statistics and causality. Dr. Cox has been on the Faculties of the Center for Computational Mathematics and the Center for Computational Biology at the University of Colorado at Denver and is Clinical Professor of Biostatistics and Informatics at the University of Colorado Health Sciences Center. He is a member of the National Academies Standing Committee on the Use of Public Health Data in FSIS Food Safety Programs.
Dr.
Cox is Area Editor for Mathematical Modeling for Risk Analysis: An International Journal, is a co-founder and Area
Editor of the Journal of Heuristics, and
is on the Editorial Board of the International Journal of
Operations Research and Information Systems. He is an Edelman Laureate of INFORMS, a
member of the American Statistical Association (ASA), and a Fellow of the
Society for Risk Analysis (SRA). In
2007, he won the Society of Toxicology’s Outstanding
Published Paper in Risk Assessment Award and the Society for Risk Analysis
Outstanding Risk Practitioner Award. In
2008, his solution to a challenge on “Statistical Methods to Predict Clinical
Response” won an InnoCentive Award. His work won the Society for Risk
Analysis (SRA) Best Paper Awards in both 2002 and 2003 for assessment of the
uncertain public health risks and benefits of animal antibiotics; and in 2011
for mathematical modeling of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).
Dr. Cox has taught
many graduate and professional courses in risk analysis, decision analysis,
forecasting and predictive modeling, data mining, operations research and
computational and Bayesian statistics.
He has authored and co-authored over 150 journal articles and book
chapters on these fields. His most
recent books are Risk Analysis of Complex
and Uncertain Systems (Springer, 2009) and
the Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and
Management Science (Wiley, 2011), which Dr.
Cox co-edited and contributed to. He has over a dozen U.S. patents on
applications of artificial intelligence, signal processing, statistics and
operations research methods in telecommunications. His current research
interests include computational statistical methods for causal inference in
risk analysis, data-mining, and advanced analytics for enterprise risk
management, insurance, and public policy applications.
LOUIS ANTHONY COX,
JR., PH.D
Cox Associates,
(303)-388-1778
(Phone); (303)-388-0609 (Fax); tony@cox-associates.com
WORK HISTORY
1986 - Present President, Cox
Associates. Cox Associates is an
independent
based consulting company
specializing in health, safety, and probabilistic risk analysis, applied
statistical decision analysis, and operations research modeling for public- and
private-sector clients. Cox Associates
develops and applies quantitative risk assessment, uncertainty analysis, and
decision optimization models and artificial intelligence and computational
statistical models to measurably improve client decision-making. Since 1986, Cox Associates has created health
risk models for many chemicals, chemical carcinogens, food-borne pathogens, and
animal antimicrobials. Since 1996, its sister company NetAdvantage has also
provided quantitative risk modeling, customer data mining, and network planning
software solutions to telecommunications companies.
1987 - 1996 Senior Director for U S West
Advanced Technologies in
1980 - 1986 Manager, Applied Decision
Sciences practice area; Senior Consultant
in
Operations Research, Arthur D. Little, Inc.,
1978 - 1979 Senior Research Associate,
American Institutes for Research in the
Social and
Behavioral Sciences (AIR),
Academic Affiliations
Past Academic Affiliations
EDUCATION
1986 - Present Professional courses, seminars,
and tutorials in statistical optimization,
molecular and cell biology and
toxicology, epidemiology, operations research, computational statistics,
digital signal processing, image processing, artificial intelligence, biomathematics, and risk analysis.
1993 Stanford Executive
Program,
1985 - 1986 M.I.T., Ph.D. in Risk
Analysis. Dissertation: Mathematical
Foundations
of Risk Measurement
1983 - 1985 M.I.T., S.M. in Operations
Research, Department of Electrical
Engineering
and Computer Science. Thesis: Attribution
of Risk in
the
Presence of Joint Causes.
1979 - 1983 Harvard University, graduate
courses in applied mathematics,
theoretical
and applied statistics, psychometrics, and decision sciences
1975-1978 Harvard University, A.B.
(Mathematical Economics)
ACADEMIC EXPERIENCE
Graduate
Courses Taught
·
Health Risk Analysis,
· Causality, Inference, and Decision-Making,
· Decision and Risk Analysis,
· Statistics for Business,
· Social Decision and Risk Management,
Professional
Courses Taught
· Advances in Health Risk Assessment
and Modeling. Invited
lectures presented at Risk
Assessment Unit at Evira (Finnish Food Safety Authority)
· Short Course on Causality and Decision Analysis for Risk
Analysts.
·
Probabilistic risk
analysis: Assessment, management, and
communication.
·
Gordon-Kenan Risk Analysis Summer School
in Risk Analysis
August 3-15, 2003
Roger Williams University
·
Probabilistic risk
analysis. Professional course for
Health
·
Advanced Methods for
Dose-Response Assessment: Bayesian Approaches.
Resources for the
http://www.rff.org/disc_papers/PDF_files/0115.pdf.
· "Bayesian methods
for assessing uncertain exposures", Workshop
on Probabilistic Methods for Risk Assessment. Society for Risk Analysis,
· Advances in Wireless
Technology,
· Introduction to Decision
Analysis for Risk Management, United States Department of Agriculture's APHIS
Introductory Risk Analysis course, University of Maryland Conference Center,
July 9, 1992.
· Risk Assessment Modeling, one-day short course
given at the USDA Training Center, APHIS Risk Assessment Course, Fort Collins,
CO, July 23-24, 1992.
· Technical Risk
Communication,
short-course given at the Greenbelt Marriott Hotel, APHIS Advanced Risk
Communication Course, Greenbelt, MD, August 20, 1992.
· Biologically-Based Risk
Assessment. Short course, Society for Risk Analysis,
1991.
Science
Enrichment Courses for Elementary School Children
At the
· Natural and Artificial Life, Evolution, and Intelligence (Spring, 2010)
· Science Basics:
Introduction to Cosmology and Earth Science (Spring, 2010)
· Matter, Energy, and Technology (Spring, 2009)
· Introduction to Materials Science (Spring, 2009)
· Basic Cell Biology (Fall, 2008)
Dissertations
Supervised
Dr. Cox has served on
S.M. and Ph.D. thesis committees at the University of Denver (S.M. thesis on
genetic algorithms) and the University of Colorado (S.M. thesis on innovations
in voice messaging, 1995; Ph.D. thesis
on classification trees for learning forecasting models from data, 1999; MS
thesis on ant colony optimization for bandwidth packing, 2000; MS project on
data mining and causal simulation modeling, 2000; Ph.D. thesis on uncertainty analysis in
epidemiology, 2003.)
At U S WEST Advanced Technologies, Dr.
Cox initiated and led collaborative research projects with top researchers at
many universities, including
·
·
·
· Oregon Graduate
Institute (breakthroughs in neural net and digital signal processing
technologies for automated speech recognition with Professor Ron Cole).
In 1992, his collaboration with
mathematicians at the University of Colorado at Denver on combinatorial
optimization heuristics for network routing was selected by the Colorado
Advanced Software Institute (CASI) as one of only two projects (out of 30) that
exemplified this state-funded Institute's major goals: outstanding
industry-university technical research with high commercial value. In 1993 and 1994, his collaborations with UCD
on new data mining algorithms and pattern recognition techniques for risk
analysis and fault diagnosis algorithms were the only projects to receive
CASI's award. Dr. Cox has also
collaborated with colleagues at Bell Labs and the
Dr. Cox has
chaired many conference sessions, including the following:
·
Novel Approaches in Dose Response. Society for Risk
Analysis 2010 Annual Meeting.
·
Sustainable Value Chains. Institute for Operations Research and
Management Science annual conference,
·
Security and Resilience in Telecommunications
Networks. Institute for Operations
Research and Management Science annual conference,
·
Animal Pathogens and
Human Exposure.
Society for Risk Analysis annual conference,
·
Alternative Approaches
to Risk Assessment.
Society for Risk Analysis annual conference,
·
Complexity in Modeling
Mode-of-Action and Other Sources of Non-Linearity In Risk. Society for Risk Analysis annual conference,
·
Statistical
Methods: Uncertainty, Confidence Limits,
etc. Society for Risk Analysis annual conference,
·
Toxicology. Session at Non-Linear
Dose-Response Relationships in Biology, Toxicology, and Medicine: An International Conference. (
· Special Applications in Industry and Government. (Society for Risk Analysis, 2002)
· Market Modeling and Policy (INFORMS Telecommunications Conference,
2002)
· Wireless Network Planning (INFORMS Telecommunications Conference,
2002)
· Optical Networks (8th International Conference on Telecommunications Systems,
2000.)
· Telecommunications (INFORMS, 2000)
· Marketing (INFORMS, 1999)
· Forecasting and Economics (INFORMS Telecommunications Conference,
1998)
· Stochastic Optimization (Society for Industrial and Applied
Mathematics, SIAM, 1996)
· Planning Heuristics for Telecommunications Networks (INFORMS, 1996).
· Risk and Uncertainty
· Artificial Intelligence Heuristics for Optimization
· Heuristic Optimization for Process Improvement.
· Cluster chair for
INFORMS sessions on "Heuristic
Optimization and Learning"
(1994).
Other Academic
Experience
From 1987-1992,
Dr. Cox served on the Industry Advisory Board of the Mathematics Department at
the University of Colorado at Denver, where he is now Honorary Full Professor
of Mathematics and on the Faculty of the Center for Computational
Mathematics. He has given invited talks
on advanced topics in risk analysis, telecommunications engineering and
management, and computer science to faculties and graduate seminars at many top
universities. He is Area Editor
(Mathematical Modeling) of Risk
Analysis: An International Journal and
is Area Editor (Real-World Applications) of
the Journal of Heuristics, which he
helped to found in 1995. He is on the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Operations Research and Information Systems. He has
reviewed many academic research proposals for the National Science
Foundation's Decision, Risk, and
Management Science program and SBIR technology proposals for NSF and other
agencies. He has lectured on biomathematics,
cancer risk modeling, data mining, and other statistical, mathematical, and
analytics topics at the University of Colorado.
Dr. Cox co-taught a short-course on Biologically-Based
Risk Assessment at the Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting in 1991; a workshop on Probabilistic
Methods in Risk Assessment at the Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting
in 1998; and taught a Short Course on Causality and Decision Analysis for
Risk Analysts at the Australia & New Zealand Regional Organisation of
the Society for Risk Analysis in 2008.
Examples of applied
statistics, epidemiology, operations research, and health risk analysis
projects completed by Dr. Cox in the past decade include the following:
RISK ANALYSIS
AND APPLIED STATISTICS CONSULTING EXPERIENCE
·
For
the Institute of Medicine (IOM), served as a reviewer for the IOM Draft on Scientific Standards for Studies of Modified Risk Tobacco Products,
examining the types of biomarker data and other scientific information needed
to demonstrate to FDA that new products have reduced risks (2011)
·
Served
as expert reviewer for EPA’s Draft
Microbial Risk Assessment Guideline: Pathogenic Microorganisms with Focus on
Food and Water (2011)
·
For
the U.S. EPA, served as a member of the Science Advisory Board (SAB) for Dioxin
(2010-11)
·
For
the National Pork Board, prepared comments on a Russian risk analysis of
tetracycline residues in foods. These comments provided the technical basis for
the USG’s position in trilateral trade negotiations with the EU and Russian
Federation (2011)
·
For
the Colorado state police, analyzed the frequency and severity of car accidents
by time of day, time of year, driver age and sex, driver behavior (e.g.,
alcohol use, use of safety devices), and types of air bags and oher
equipment. Developed an injury
prediction model that successfully predicted risks of injury, given an
accident, from less than 20% to over 70%, based on preventable causes. (2011)
· For the National Mining Association, developed a statistical
critique of a proposed quantitative risk assessment for respirable coal mine
dust (2010-11)
·
For the
· For the National Pork Board, assessed human health risks of
multidrug-resistant “superbug” bacterial infections originating from pigs
(2010)
· For Philip Morris
International, developed a quantitative model of age-specific risks of chronic
obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) as a function of smoking history
(2008-2009). Clarified the interaction
of molecular biological pathways in forming positive feedback loops that
trigger and sustain this disease.
· For the National Pork Board, reviewed statistical and causal
analyses of infant mortality and livestock production (2009)
· For the
· For Alpharma and Phibro Animal Health, assessed potential human
health risks from use of tetracycline drugs in food animals (2009)
·
Member of
National Academy of Sciences (NAS) Committee on Methodological Improvements to
the Department of Homeland Security’s Biological Agent Risk Analysis. (2006-8) http://www8.nationalacademies.org/cp/CommitteeView.aspx?key=48682
·
Member of
Environmental Protection Agency Science Advisory Board (EPA SAB) on Asbestos.
http://yosemite.epa.gov/sab/sabpeople.nsf/WebCommitteesSubcommittees/Asbestos%20Committee
·
Member
of
·
For Comcast
Cable, worked
in partnership with
·
Delegate to
First Session of the Codex Ad Hoc
Intergovernmental Task Force on Antimicrobial Resistance held in
·
For Xcel
Energy, worked
in partnership with North Highland consulting company to develop a credit risk
assessment model that predicts which customer accounts are likely to become bad
debts six months or more in advance, when early intervention is still possible
and profitable (2007)
·
For
Qwest Communications, worked in partnership with
·
For
Philip Morris International, developed a quantitative model of age-specific
risks of lung cancer as a function of smoking history. Estimated the potential reduction in lung
cancer risk for smokers if cadmium were removed from tobacco products.
(2005-2007)
·
For
Qwest Communications, worked in partnership with
·
For
a sand and gravel company, examined the usefulness, for estimating risks and
setting prioriries, of aggregate exposure metrics for mixtures of asbestos and
non-asbestos fibers and particles (2006)
·
For
a telecommunications equipment manufacturer, created a model to predict the
numbers and types of equipment failures expected in future years, based on
historical failure data for equipment items manufactured in different years. (2006)
·
For
a grass seed company, assessed the quantitative risks of gene flow from genetically
modified grasses into the environment via pollen and seeds (2006). This approach was subsequently adopted by the
United States District Court for the
·
For
a homeowner’s association, quantified the probable number and timing of future
failures in copper pipes due to thermogalvanic corrosion. The model correctly predicted the near
statistical certainty of additional pipe failures (2006).
·
For
the National Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS),
advised on modeling potential failures and threats to spent nuclear fuel rods
stored in different types of containers.
This work contributed to the 2006 NAS report Safety and Security of Commercial Spent Nuclear Fuel
Storage, http://www.nap.edu/openbook/0309096472/html/R4.html.
·
For
a large pharmaceutical company, analyzed Phase 3 clinical trial data and showed
that a major drug is highly effective in reversing symptoms of a disease in
patients in both the short run (within 1-2 weeks) and over a longer time
frame. This statistical analysis of the
time course of responses and the clusters of different response histories among
patients explained several previously unresolved puzzles and made the meaning
of the data clear for company statisticians and decision-makers. (2005)
·
For
a law firm specializing in construction defect litigation, developed an
approach to sampling available homes or units to support efficient statistical
inference from available data, even when some homes or units cannot be
inspected. (2005)
·
For
Phibro Animal Health, developed a systems dynamics model of the evolution of
illnesses and resistance in human and animal populations. (2005/2006)
·
For
the American Chemistry Council, assessed the potential human health risks
associated with methyl bromide (2005).
·
For
Philip Morris Intenational, developed new ways to integrate partial knowledge
of causal mechanisms of lung carcinogenesis with statistical information
(mainly epidemiological and molecular epidemiological data) to obtain
quantitative bounds on the fraction of lung cancers that can be prevented by
removing specific components of exposure and/or blocking specific causal
pathways. (2004-2006)
·
For
the cattle industry group R-CALF, developed a value of information (VOI) model
for assessing the economic value of tracking Canadian cattle in the
·
For
the Animal Health Institute, developed a Rapid Risk Rating Technique (RRRT) to
quantify the human health impacts of food-borne pathogens and animal
antimicrobial uses (1Q-04)
·
For
Elanco Animal Health, served on an Expert Panel to develop a mathematical model
of the human health benefits of decreasing microbial loads in food animals
(2003-4)
·
For
Phibro Animal Health, developed a quantitative risk assessment of the human
health risks and benefits from continued use of virginiamycin in chickens and
pigs (2002-4)
·
For
the Animal Health Institute, served on an Expert Panel to review human health
risks from animal antibiotics (2002-3); developed a farm-to-fork risk
simulation model for Campylobacter risks (2000-2002)
·
For
the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, served as an external expert reviewer
for the EPA’s “Perchlorate Environmental Contamination: Toxicological Review and Risk
Characterization” Draft External Review Document (March, 2002).
·
For
the World Health Organization (WHO), served as an external expert reviewer for
a Consultation on Campylobacter risk
assessment, in
·
For
the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), (a) Reviewed proposed approaches
to antimicrobial risk assessment (1999) http://www.fda.gov/cvm/antimicrobial/tonycox/index.htm; and (b) Proposed a decision-analytic alternative to FDA’s
threshold approach for managing risks of resistant strains of pathogenic
bacteria due to use of antibiotics in animals (2001). The FDA at first strongly
rejected Dr. Cox’s advice and testimony on how to do antimicrobial risk
assessment correctly (with considerable acrimony, in the context of
enrofloxacin litigation), but has subsequently had Dr. Cox visit to discuss
several antimicrobial risk assessments, and has sought Dr. Cox’s views on how
to do better risk analysis.
·
For
the U.S. EPA, served as expert external reviewer and contributor to Review of Uncertainty and Variability
Analysis In IRIS for Eight Substances.
http://www.epa.gov/ncea/hlthfx_iris.htm
·
Created
computer simulation models (PBPK and PD) of dose-time-response relations for
low-level exposures to chemical carcinogens, for Exxon Biomedical Sciences
(EBSI). Developed an artificial
intelligence method for improving prediction of likely human chemical
carcinogens, also for EBSI.
·
Created
a discrete-event stochastic simulation model of the human health risks
associated with Ciprofloxacin resistance in Camplyobacter jejuni induced by use
of Enrofloxacin in chickens, for the Animal Health Institute (AHI). http://www.cvmbs.colostate.edu/cveadss/schedule/SchedulePage.htm
·
Critically
reviewed epidemiological studies of diesel exhaust and human lung cancer risk,
for the Engine Manufacturers Association.
·
For
the American Petroleum Institute (API), created a computer simulation model of
bone marrow and blood cell toxicity caused by cyclophosphamide, an
immunosuppressive drug. Designed
laboratory experiments to validate the model's predictions. Analyzed clinical and laboratory data to test
model's predictive validity. Prepared a
software release so that other scientists could use the model.
·
Reviewed
literature on air pollution and human lung cancer risks, for the American
Petroleum Institute.
·
Applied
adaptive spatial sampling to optimize search and clean-up efforts for
remediating residential properties around an abandoned hazardous waste site
(for AlliedSignal)
·
Reassessed
human cancer risks from 1,3-butadiene using pharmacokinetic modeling to adjust
for interspecies differences in internal doses of epoxybutene (for the Chemical
Manufacturers Association)
·
Reassessed
the human leukemia risks from benzene exposure using a physiologically-based
pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model to calculate internal dose (for the American
Petroleum Association)
·
Reviewed
design of an initiation-promotion experiment for studying the potential carcinogenicity
of a rubber additive, for Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company.
·
Developed
a general physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling software tool
for rapidly developing high-quality PBPK models (with ENSR Consulting and
Engineering, Inc.)
·
Reviewed
artificial intelligence approaches to characterizing uncertain health risks
using weight
of evidence,
nonmonotonic, and other uncertainty analysis (for Lawrence Berkeley National
Laboratory)
·
Assessed
potential health risks associated with occupational exposure to herbicides
among
roadside workers, using
pharmacokinetic models, for a Fortune 100 chemical manufacturer.
·
Recommendation
of cleanup priorities for a large hazardous waste site in
·
Developed
a prototype computer model for biologically based risk assessment of chemical
carcinogen risks, for the Western States Petroleum Association (WSPA) and the
American Petroleum Institute (API)
·
Reviewed
new biostatistical and "biologically based" approaches to cancer risk
analysis, for the
California Department of
Health Services
·
Reviewed
regulatory history of benzene risk assessments and of biomathematical
approaches to
modeling leukemogenesis
for the Western Oil and Gas Association and the American Petroleum Institute
·
Prototype
computer modeling of the AIDS epidemic (with Arthur D. Little, Inc.)
·
Designed
a 2-year bioassay experiment for isoprene.
Analyzed and reported the resulting experimental data for a
multi-client, multinational industry group coordinated by Exxon Biomedical
Sciences.
·
Accident
risk analysis and consequence analysis of a petrochemical storage facility in
California-based
environmental consulting firm
·
Implemented
a Macintosh version of a physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model for
benzene pharmacokinetics and total metabolism in rodents and humans, for the
API
·
Explored
new mathematical approaches and conceptual frameworks for dealing with
scientific uncertainties in biologically-based risk assessment, for the Western
States Petroleum Association (WSPA)
·
Created
an interactive data analysis and graphics package for determining the degree of
worker protection provided by different respirators, filters, and face masks
(with Arthur D. Little, Inc.)
·
Microeconomic
and applied probability modeling of insurance company business risks for use in
tax litigation (with Arthur D. Little, Inc.)
·
Critically
reviewed a transportation risk analysis for liquefied natural gas (LNG)
operations in the
St. Lawrence seaway.
·
Reviewed
progress since 1985 in using decision analysis for accident risk assessments.
·
Implemented
an experimental "intelligent" data base management system for
chemical health effects
data bases (with Exxon Biomedical Sciences, Inc.)
·
Uncertainty
analysis of PBPK modeling and risk analyses, accounting for model uncertainties
and
population heterogeneity, for the American Industrial Health
Council.
·
Developed
new statistical techniques to predict cancer risks associated with mineral
oils, for Mobil Oil.
DATA MINING
AND STATISTICAL MODELING AND PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS EXPERIENCE
· For Rogers Communications, developed causal models of customer
satisfaction; identified high-impact interventions for improving customer
satisfaction; helped to develop achievable targets and strategies for improving
customer experiences in different channels (2011)
· Delivered a statistical analysis of the causal drivers of customer
satisfaction to top executives at Comcast Cable; identified realistic targets
and interventions for improving customer satisfaction (2010-11).
·
For
a top cable company, worked in partnership with
·
For
an energy utility, worked in partnership with
·
For
a telecommunications company, worked in partnership with North Highland
consulting company to develop a predictive model of customer marketing channel
choice, and usage as a function of quanlity of channel experience (e.g., for
web site, call center, retail store, and other channels.) Used the model to quantify financial impacts
of improving web-based customer care. (2006)
·
Also
in partnership with North Highland consulting company, analyzed employee survey
data for a major telecommunications provider and quantified patterns of
internal communications (conference calls, managing e-mail, company news
letters and bulletins, meetings, etc.); time spent on these activities by
employees with different job roles and in different VP areas; and potential to
reduce employee burden and improve the value and efficiency of internal
communications. (2006)
· For a European wireless
telecommunications provider, analyzed customer data to help develop more
predictive segments; held a one-day intensive course in Brussels on advanced
statistical models and methods for quantifying customer value in the short and
long runs, based on probability and statistics models of customer behaviors in
response to company offers. (2005)
· In 2004, delivered to an international
telecommunications company a needs-based predictive segmentation model for cell
phone customers.
· In 2003, in partnership with
· In April, 2002, delivered to an internet
services provider (ISP) a decision-support model for predicting customers with
the highest churn potential and recommending specific interventions to reduce
churn. This system was found by the
client to reduce churn by over 40% within 4 months among at-risk customers.
· In March, 2002, delivered to a financial
services company a set of predictive clusters for simultaneously predicting
churn, upsell, and cross-sell potentials for existing customers. The predictive validity, stability, and high
practical value of the predictive clusters were confirmed by the client in 2003
and 2004.
· In October, 2001, completed a study to
identify ways to predict which competitive local exchange carrier (CLEC)
customers would experience the most revenue growth in the next quarter and
which would be most likely to drop accounts.
· In August, 2001,
completed an analysis of insurance customer data showing that combining
information from homeowner, auto, and other insurance lines using
classification trees and transition models could dramatically improve accurate
identification of cross-sell, up-sell, and retention opportunities.
· In December, 2000,
completed a study of purchasing patterns among large business customers for
Qwest communications. The results show that a few key products, together with
factors such as account age, predict likely stability or churn of customers, as
well as likely growth potential.
· In 2Q, 2000,
delivered to statistical analyses of the effects of U S WEST and competitor
advertising and publicity (including brand/service commercials, direct mail,
and news stories) on customer ratings of value and loyalty.
· Analyzed marketing data
for AT&T-TCI to determine which current cable customers are most likely to
switch to digital cable in the next quarter, based on current cable, telephony,
and demographic risk factors.
· Created and validated a
statistical (semi-Markov state transition) risk model to predict product and
account attrition among U S WEST customers. Delivered to the CRMS group in U S
WEST Communications a predictive model for identifying the likely future purchasing,
product-drop, and account disconnect behaviors of individual customers. The new
model has significantly greater predictive power than previous ones, achieving
lifts of several hundred percent on the task of predicting which 10% of
customers are most likely to buy specific products in the next few months.
· Developed new
statistical optimal matching procedures to decide which products to offer which
customers to maximize average revenue yield and lifetime revenue value for U S
WEST Communications. Demonstrated a
potential increase of over 40% for short-term revenues. 15% revenue increase was achieved in a
preliminary in-market trial of intelligent scripting.
· Used a new causal
modeling and data-mining technique to predict likely future product purchases
from past purchase data and demographics, for U S WEST Consumer Services Group.
· Created a new
forecasting model for application to short-tem and cross-sectional market
data. The new method combined
classification tree analysis with compartmental flow simulation. Applied to real data, it successfully allowed
growth in demand for access lines to be predicted as accurately using less than
6 months of data as was previously possible using over 5 years of data with
conventional time series forecasting methods.
The forecasts were used by U S WEST Communications in 1997.
· Created and implemented
a combined machine-learning/transition simulation forecasting technique to use
detailed call records to more accurately predict traffic loads arriving at
different locations within a wireless network for PrimeCo Personal
Communications Services Ltd.
· Developed a
simulation-based model of cable customer transitions among different behaviors
(adding and dropping basic and enhanced cable services, switching among services
and locations, etc.) for TCI.
· Analyzed cable franchise
data for over 400 TCI cable systems to identify predictors of service quality
perceptions and churn. Successfully
identified unexpected demographic predictors of profitability and satisfaction.
· Analyzed macroeconomic
data and survey data for a consortium of Indonesian companies to predict the
penetration of telephony, PCs, internet services, and cable over the next 15
years.
CONSTRUCTION
DEFECT LITIGATION SUPPORT EXPERIENCE
Dr. Cox has testified as
an expert statistician in numerous construction defect cases, typically seeking
to clarify the types of valid statistical inferences about risks and defects
that can be drawn from limited sample data.
Dr. Cox has been deposed on statistical issues in the following
construction defect cases since 2006.
·
Amezcua/Pua v. DR Horton
Deposition in Arizona, 2/2/2010
·
Amukamara/Larissa by Forecast Deposition
in Arizona, 4/10/2007
·
Arrants v. D.R. Horton
Deposition in Arizona, 8/3/2010
·
Aspen Creek Deposition in Arizona, 5/22/07
· D.R. Horton,
Inc.-Denver vs. Canyon Creek Condominium Association, Inc. Deposition in Colorado, 12/10/2010
· Centercrest Deposition in Arizona, 3/14/2006
·
Chaignot v. Beazer Deposition in Arizona, 4/22/2010
· Cummings v. Lenar Deposition in Arizona,
9/21/2006
·
Dancy Deposition in Arizona, 11/09/2006
· Ensley et al. vs. Forecast Homes Deposition
and trial in Arizona, 11/09/2009
· Frye Park Townhomes HOA v. Patterson Development LP Deposition in Arizona, 4/22/2010
· Goree v. Monterey Homes Deposition
in Arizona, 11/30/2006
· Greenwood Estates Deposition in
Arizona, 10/11/2010
· Landmark Towers Deposition in Arizona, 7/29/11
·
Paloma Paseo
Deposition in Arizona, 10/13/2007
· Premier Deposition in Arizona, 3/10/2009
· Raintree Deposition in Arizona, 8/3/2007
· Sun City Grand testified to
arbitration panel, 7/22/2011
· Terravita Deposition in Arizona, 10/6/2006
· Windrose East Deposition in Arizona, 3/10/2009
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
NETWORK DESIGN AND OPTIMIZATION EXPERIENCE
After leaving U S WEST
Advanced Technologies, Dr. Cox has led the following projects.
·
SONET-DWDM
and mesh planning tools that allow for unspecified (any-to-any) demands and
incremental planning with ring, mesh, or hybrid protection and resilience
against multiple simultaneous fiber cuts or other failures (2005-2011).
· Led delivery of a hybrid
ring/mesh architecture network planning software tool to Sprint (2004)
· Led delivery of a
combined SONET-DWDM mesh topology design tool to Tellabs, Inc. (2003)
· Developed network
planning, optimization, and risk analysis tools for a satellite company (3Q-02)
· Created a competitive
cost model for Sprint’s national optical network (1Q-3Q, 2002)
· Delivered a Passive
Optical Network (PON) configurator tool to a PON equipment vendor (1Q-02)
· Delivered to Sprint a
port-level SONET ring planning tool. An
initial version of the tool was successfully used in creating Sprint’s 2002
network build plan (4Q-01)
· Delivered to Redback
Networks of a card-level SONET ring planning and optimization tool
(3Q-01). This software tool is now
marketed commercially by Redback Networks.
· Delivered to Sprint a
dark fiber network configuration planning tool, incorporating a proprietary
genetic algorithm, that reduced costs of metro-area networks by over 50%
compared to manual solutions. (1Q-01 for fiber-only version, 3Q-01 for version
with wireless link options)
· Delivered to Tellium a
Dense Wave Division Multiplexing (DWDM) mesh topology design tool, marketed
commercially as StarNet Planner. (4Q-00)
· Delivered to Kestrel
Solutions a SONET Ring Planning tool for optimizing placement of optical
add-drop multiplexer components in optical ring networks. (3Q-00)
· Created a new design for
a backhaul network in
· For Sprint PCS, analyzed
market demand forecasts and switching and interconnect costs. Led development of a a 20-period network
growth and capacity planning and optimization software model. Identified a way to save over $1M (approximately
10%) of network capital expenses for a small city by reconfiguring the initial
choice of switch modules to allow a more efficient capacity expansion growth
path (1997).
· For Cox California PCS,
led development of a backhaul network optimization program, solved via a new
genetic algorithm, that reduced monthly backhaul costs by over 10% through more
efficient of digital circuits to hubs and more economical use of SONET
facilities.
· For PrimeCo Personal
Communications Services, Ltd., created an optimization model of Multi-Channel
Controller Card assignment and inventory management to reduce the costs of
expanding network capacity through base station capacity upgrades.
PREVIOUS
INDUSTRY EXPERIENCE
Before starting Cox Associates in 1986, Dr. Cox consulted in
statistics, health and safety risk analysis, operations research, computer
science, and econometrics for Arthur D. Little, Inc. He managed multimillion dollar AI risk
analysis software development projects for the U S Air Force and led cases
covering environmental fate and transport modeling of pollutants, risk analyses
for transportation and processing facilities, reliability modeling of complex
systems, and a variety of product development, insurance, R&D, computer
security, and electric utility applications.
He also acted as an expert statistician and economist in support of
several contract, tort, and administrative law cases and contributed to
projects on USDA Standards and Grades for food products, statistical analysis
of cigarette smoking data, safety of different types of protective masks,
etc.
In 1984, Dr. Cox won Arthur D. Little's Presidential Award
for outstanding contributions to the development of R&D planning and risk
assessment methodologies for the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI).
Prior to joining Arthur D. Little, Inc., in 1979, Dr. Cox
worked in societal risk analysis, experimental cognitive psychology of text
processing, and applied statistics, at the American Institutes for Research
(AIR). He also co-authored a book on the
effects of court sanctions on the risks of chronic delinquent behavior,
featured on Good Morning America in
1979 and still widely cited (e.g., http://www.ncpa.org/bg/bg148/bg148b.htm,
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/crime/wilson.htm,).
OTHER
TECHNOLOGY EXPERTISE
Dr.
Cox was U S WEST Advanced Technologies' expert on statistics and econometrics,
artificial intelligence, decision and risk analysis, and digital signal
processing technologies, emphasizing pattern recognition, spoken language
understanding, and machine-learning applications.
He
has appeared on CNN and has been interviewed by KGNU Radio, the Wall Street Journal, Newsweek, and various newspapers about
profitable business applications of these and related technologies. He frequently represented U S WEST to
regulators and utility commissions in explaining the purpose, value, and
accomplishments of U S WEST's work these areas.
Dr. Cox has been interviewed many times about topics related to human
health risks of chemicals and antibiotics.
A presentation by Dr. Cox on animal antibiotic risks is described in the
Science section of The New York Times
(2006) http://www.nytimes.com/2006/02/21/science/21cafe.html
Dr.
Cox has also been interviewed by The
Washington Post (2005). The
PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES
Professional Societies
·
Society
for Risk Analysis (SRA). Fellow since
1993. (Fellowship recognizes lifetime
contributions to the field of risk analysis)
·
Institute
for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS), Edelman Laureate
since 2006 (recognizing outstanding achievement in the practice of
OR/MS.).
·
Member
of the American Statistical Association since 1993.
Positions
Held
·
Treasurer
of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), 2007-8; Treasurer-Elect, 2006
·
Elected
as one of two Counselors for the 400-member ORSA Special Interest Group on
Telecommunications, 1992
·
Member
of the International Life Sciences Institute's (ILSI's) Risk Science Institute
Cancer Dose-Response Working Group in 1991-1992.
·
Counselor,
Rocky Mountain Chapter of the SRA, 1990-1991
·
Secretary
and co-founder, New England Chapter of the SRA, 1985-86
Selected Awards
and Honors
· 2011 Best Paper Award, Society for Risk Analysis, for A causal model of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)
risk. http://www.sra.org/journal_best_paper_awards.php
· 2008 Innocentive Challenge Award. In 2008, Dr. Cox's
proprietary solution to a challenge on “Statistical Methods to Predict Clinical
Response” won an InnoCentive Award from Eli Lilly (http://www.innocentive.com/servlets/project/ProjectInfo.po?s=AW).
· 2007 Outstanding Practitioner Award,
recognizing excellent performance in the practice of risk analysis. Awarded by the Society for Risk Analysis. San
Antonio, TX, December, 2007.
· Outstanding Published Paper in 2006
Demonstrating an Application of Risk Assessment, awarded by
the Risk Assessment Specialty Section of the Society of Toxicology, March,
2007.
· Franz Edelman Finalist Award, for achievement in the
practice of Operations Research and the Management Sciences, awarded by the
Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), 2006.
· Best Reviewer, Decision Sciences, for Risk Analysis: An International Journal. 2006
· Best Paper Award, Society for Risk Analysis, 2003 www.sra.org/newsletter/news0204.pdf
· Best Paper Award, Society for Risk Analysis, 2002, www.sra.org/news0203.pdf
· POMS National Award Finalist for paper: Cox LA, Bell
G, Glover F. A new learning approach to
process improvement in a telecommunications company. Production and
Operations Management, 4, 3,
217-227, 1995. Production and Operations Management Society
· INFORMS Prize for best real-world applications of operations
research having substantial business value, 1994
· Fellow of the Society
for Risk Analysis, 1993
At U S WEST Dr. Cox also
received many awards. Under his
leadership, in 1994, U S WEST won the Operations Research Society of America's
prestigious INFORMS Prize, awarded annually to the company in the world that
has best applied operations research methods in innovative ways that have had
profound business impact. In 1991 Dr.
Cox won U S WEST's Special Achievement Award for developing new approaches to
business risk analysis widely applied by U S WEST International. In 1992, he
won the U S WEST's Chairman's Award and two Special Achievement Awards for
innovations in network design credited with saving U S WEST over $100M. In 1994, Dr. Cox won U S WEST's new
President's Club and Circle of Excellence Awards for innovations in
probabilistic analysis of customer choice behavior.
LOUIS ANTHONY
COX, JR. - PATENTS
Dr. Cox has applied risk analysis, statistical decision
theory, and optimization principles to several fields in new ways. He is
inventor or co-inventor of the following innovations.
Speech
Synthesis Using Perceptual Linear Prediction Parameters (U.S. Pat. # 5,165,008, awarded November 17,
1992. Canadian Patent #2,074,418 awarded
December 12, 1995.)
(U.S. Patent
#5,508,999, awarded April 16, 1996.)
Method
and System for Planning and Installing Communication Networks.
(U.S. Patent
#5,515,367, awarded May 7, 1996.)
Automated
system and method for voice processing.
(U.S. Patent #5655006,
awarded August 5, 1997.)
Method
and system for identifying a corrupted speech message signal.
(U.S. Patent
#5,684,921, awarded November 4, 1997.)
Method
for providing a linguistically competent dialogue with a computerized service
representative. (U.S. Patent #5,685,000, awarded
November 4, 1997.)
Method
and system for developing network analysis and modeling with graphical objects. (U.S. Patent #5,715,432,
awarded February 3, 1998)
Adaptive
knowledge base of complex information through interactive voice dialogue.
(U.S. Patent #
5,774,860, awarded June 30, 1998)
Method
and system for linguistic command processing in a video server
environment.
(U.S. Patent
#5,832,439, awarded November 3, 1998)
Architecture and method for providing
interactive broadband products and services using existing telephone plant.
(U.S. Patent #5,857,142, awarded January 4, 1999.) http://www.patentstorm.us/patents/5857142.html
Method
for annotating and editing voice messages via acoustic bullet points. (U.S. Patent #5,943,402, awarded August 24th,
1999, http://www.patents.ibm.com/details?pn=US05943402__)
Calendar
system with direct and telephony networked voice control interface. (U.S. Patent #6,009,398, awarded December 28th,
1999, http://www.patents.ibm.com/patlist?icnt=US&patent_number=6009398&x=27&y=11
)
Method
and system for designing a cellular communication system. (U.S. Patent #6,181,917, awarded January 30th,
2001, http://www.delphion.com/cgi-bin/viewpat.cmd/US06181917, http://www.patentstorm.us/patents/6181917.html
)
LOUIS ANTHONY COX, JR., PH.D.
SELECTED PUBLICATIONS
Selected Books, Reports, and Monographs
Cox L.A. and Greenberg M.R. (Eds) Advances
in Terrorism Risk Analysis. On-Line
Special Issue of Risk Analysis: An
International Journal. Wiley. 2011. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/(ISSN)1539-6924/homepage/custom_copy.htm
Institute of Medicine, Board on Health Sciences
Policy: Prepositioned Medical Countermeasures for the Public. Prepositioning
Antibiotics for Anthrax. National
Academies Press. Washington, D.C., 2011.www.iom.edu/Reports/2011/Prepositioning-Antibiotics-for-Anthrax/Report-Brief.aspx
Cox, L.A., Jr.
Risk Analysis of Complex and
Uncertain Systems. Springer. New York.
2009. www.springer.com/business/operations+research/book/978-0-387-89013-5. Reviewed at http://interfaces.journal.informs.org/cgi/reprint/40/4/330.pdf.
Cox, L.A., Jr. Quantitative Health
Risk Analysis Methods: Modeling the Human Health Impacts of Antibiotics Used in
Food Animals. Springer.
New York. 2006.
National Research Council. Committee on
Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security's Biological
Agent Risk Analysis, Department of Homeland Security
Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change. National Academies Press. Washington, D.C., 2008. http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=12206#toc
National Research Council. Safety and Security
of Commercial Spent Nuclear Fuel Storage.
National Academies Press. Washington, D.C., 2006.
Raucher R, et al., Quantifying Public Health Risk
Reduction Benefits American Water
Works Association, 2002.
Cox, L.A., Jr., Risk Analysis:
Foundations, Models and Methods. Springer.
New York. 2001. International
Series in Operations Research & Management Science, 45.
Cox, L.A., Jr., and P.F. Ricci (eds), New Risks: Issues and Management. Plenum Press, 1990.
Murray, C.A., and L.A. Cox, Jr., Beyond Probation: Juvenile Corrections and the Chronic
Delinquent. Sage Publications,
Beverly Hills, CA, 1979.
Wiley Encyclopedia of
Operations Research and Management Science.
2011. www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0470400633.html. Area Editor, Decision Analysis, Risk Analysis, and Game Theory sections.
Cox LA Jr.
Evaluating and improving risk formulas for allocating limited budgets to
expensive risk-reduction opportunities. Risk
Analysis. 2011
Cox LA Jr. Reassessing the
human health benefits from cleaner air. Risk Analysis. 2011
Cox LA Jr. Low-dose
nonlinear effects of smoking on coronary heart disease risk. Dose-Response.
2011
Cox LA Jr. Dose-response
thresholds for progressive diseases. Dose-Response.
2011
Cox LA Jr. Hormesis for
fine particulate matter (PM2.5).
Dose-Response. 2011
Cox LA Jr. .Clarifying types of
uncertainty: when are models accurate, and uncertainties small? Risk
Analysis. 2011 Oct;31(10):1530-3.
Cox LA Jr. An exposure-response threshold for lung
diseases and lung cancer caused by crystalline silica. Risk Analysis. 2011 Oct;31(10):1543-60.
Cox LA Jr.
Foundations of decision theory. Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research
and Management Science. 2011 http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0470400633.html
Cox
L.A. Jr. Managing R&D and risky projects. Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research
and Management Science. 2011
http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/Section/id-397132.html
Cox LA Jr., WA Huber. Why risk is not variance. Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science. 2011 http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0470400633.html
Cox LA Jr. A causal model of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
(COPD) risk.
Risk
Analysis. 2011 Jan;31(1):38-62. (Winner, 2011 Best Paper Award, Society for Risk Analysis) http://www.sra.org/journal_best_paper_awards.php
Brown GG, Cox
Jr LA. Making
terrorism risk analysis less harmful and more useful: Another try. Risk
Analysis. 2011 Feb;31(2):193-5
Brown G, Cox LA
Jr. How
probabilistic risk assessment can mislead terrorism risk analysts. Risk
Analysis. 2011 Feb;31(2):196-204
Mathers
J, Flick S, Cox LA Jr. Longer-duration uses of
tetracyclines and penicillins in U.S. food-producing animals: Indications and
microbiologic effects.. Environment International. 2011
Jul;37(5):991-1004
Ricci
PF, Straja SR, Cox LA Jr. Changing the
risk paradigms can be good for our health: J-Shaped, linear and threshold
dose-response models. Dose-Response. 2011
Cox
LA Jr. The impossibility of defining “frequency” satisfactorily, revisited. Risk Analysis. 2010
Oct;30(10):1464-5.
Cox LA Jr. Regression
versus causation, revisited. Risk Analysis. 2010 April; 30(4):535-540.
Cox LA Jr., Popken
DA. Assessing potential
human health hazards and benefits from subtherapeutic antibiotics in the
Cox T. More general conditions under which
mean-variance decision making is unjustified.
Risk
Analysis. 2010 March;
30(3):329.
Cox LA Jr. Why reduced-form regression models of
health effects versus exposures should not replace QRA: livestock production and
infant mortality as an example. Risk
Analysis. 2009 Dec;29(12):1664-71.
Cox
LA Jr. Game theory and risk analysis. Risk
Analysis. 2009 Aug;29(8):1062 -8.
Cox
LA Jr. What's wrong with hazard-ranking systems?
An expository note. Risk
Analysis. 2009 Jul;29(7):940-8.
Cox LA Jr., Popken DA, Mathers J. Human health risk assessment of penicillin /
aminopenicillin resistance in enterococci due to penicillin use in food
animals. Risk
Analysis. 2009
Jun;29(6):796-805
Cox LA Jr. A mathematical model of protease-antiprotease homeostasis
failure in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Risk Analysis 2009
Apr;29(4):576-86.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19000077
Parnell GS, Borio LL, Cox LA, Brown GG, Pollock S, Wilson AG.
Response to Ezell and von
Winterfeldt. Biosecurity and Bioterrorism: Biodefense Strategy, Practice, and
Science. March 2009, 7(1): 111-112
Cox LA Jr. Improving risk-based decision making for terrorism
applications.
Risk Analysis 2009 March;29(3):336-341.
Cox
Jr LA.
Hormesis without cell killing. Risk Analysis 2009 March 29(3):393-400. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18793280
Cox
Jr LA. Some limitations
of frequency as a component of risk: An
expository note.
Risk Analysis 2009 Feb; 29(2):171-175 www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18681867
Cox, LA Jr. Making Telecommunications Networks Resilient Against
Terrorist Attacks. Chapter 8 in Bier VM
and Azaiez MN (Eds). Game Theoretic
Risk Analysis of Security Threats. Springer, New York. 2009. http://www.springer.com/engineering/production+eng/book/978-0-387-87766-2
Cox LA Jr. Could
removing arsenic from tobacco smoke significantly reduce smoker risks of lung
cancer? Risk Analysis 2009 Jan; 29(1):3-17.
www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/121502311/abstract?CRETRY=1&SRETRY=0
Cox LA Jr. Target
Sites – Cardiovascular. In P. Wexler et
al. (Eds.) Information Resources in Toxicology, Fourth
Edition. Elsevier Inc.
Cox LA
Jr. Target Sites – Hematopoiesis. In P. Wexler et
al. (Eds.) Information Resources in Toxicology, Fourth
Edition. Elsevier Inc.
Bier VM, Cox LA Jr, Azaiez MN. Why Both Game Theory and Reliability Theory are
Important in Defending Infrastructure Against Intelligent Attacks. Chapter
1 in Bier VM and Azaiez MN (Eds). Game Theoretic
Risk Analysis of Security Threats. Springer, New York. 2009. www.springer.com/engineering/production+eng/book/978-0-387-87766-2
Cox
LA Jr., Brown GG, Pollock SM. When is uncertainty about uncertainty worth
characterizing? Interfaces 2008 Nov.-Dec. 38(6):465-468.
http://interfaces.journal.informs.org/cgi/content/abstract/38/6/465
Cox LA Jr. Some limitations of
"Risk = Threat x Vulnerability x Consequence" for risk analysis of
terrorist attacks. Risk Analysis 2008. Dec. 28(6):1749-1762.
Cox
Jr LA, Popken DA. Overcoming confirmation bias in causal attribution: A case
study of antibiotic resistance risks. Risk Analysis 2008 Oct; 28(5):1155-1171.
Cox LA Jr. R&D Planning and Risk Management. Wiley
Encyclopedia of Quantitative
Risk Analysis and Assessment, 2008.
Cox LA Jr. Managing Foodborne Risks. Wiley
Encyclopedia of Quantitative
Risk Analysis and Assessment, 2008.
Cox LA Jr, Greenberg MR, Bostrom A,
Haas C, Haimes Y, Landis W, Lowrie KW, Moolgavkar S, North W. What is the scope of the journal Risk Analysis? (Invited Editorial). Risk
Analysis 2008 Oct; 28(5):1135-1136.
Cox Jr LA. Why risk is not variance: An expository
note. Risk Analysis 2008 Aug
28(4):925-928. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18554271
Cox
LA Jr, Ricci PF. Causal regulations
vs. political will: Why human zoonotic infections increase despite
precautionary bans on animal antibiotics.
Environment International 2008
May;34(4):459-75
Cox LA Jr. What's wrong with risk matrices? Risk Analysis 2008 Apr;28(2):497-512.
Cox
LA Jr, Huber WA. Symmetry,
identifiability, and prediction uncertainties in multistage clonal expansion
(MSCE) models of carcinogenesis. Risk
Analysis 2007 Dec;27(6):1441-53.
Cox LA Jr..
Regulatory false positives: True,
false, or uncertain? [letter] Risk Analysis 2007 Oct;27(5):1083-6.
Cox LA Jr. Health Risk Analysis for Risk Management
Decision-Making. Chapter 17 in
Advances in Decision Analysis. W. Edwards, R. Miles, D. von
Winterfeldt, Eds. Cambridge University Press.
2007. http://www.cambridge.org/us/catalogue/catalogue.asp?isbn=0521682304
Bier V, Cox LA Jr.
Probabilistic Risk
Analysis for Engineered Systems. Chapter
15 in Advances in Decision Analysis. W. Edwards, R. Miles, D. von
Winterfeldt, Eds.. Cambridge University Press.
2007. http://www.cambridge.org/us/catalogue/catalogue.asp?isbn=0521682304
Cox LA Jr, Popken DA. Some limitations of aggregate exposure
metrics. Risk Analysis 2007 Apr;27(2):439-45.
Cox LA Jr. Does concern-driven risk
management provide a viable alternative to QRA? Risk Analysis 2007 Feb;27(1):27-43.
Cox LA Jr.,
Popken DA, Carnevale R. Quantifying
human health risks from animal antimicrobials.
Interfaces 2007 Jan-Feb;
37(1): 22-38. http://interfaces.journal.informs.org/cgi/content/abstract/37/1/22
Singer RS, Cox
LA Jr, Dickson JS, Hurd HS, Phillips I, Miller GY. Modeling the
relationship between food animal health and human foodborne illness. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 2007
Jan 29.
Cox LA Jr. Quantifying
potential health impacts of cadmium in cigarettes on smoker risk of lung
cancer: A portfolio-of-mechanisms approach. Risk
Analysis 2006 Dec;26(6):1581-99.
Cox LA Jr,
Sanders E.. Estimating preventable fractions of disease
caused by a specified biological mechanism: PAHs in smoking lung cancers as an
example. Risk Analysis 2006 August
6(4):881-892. (Winner, "The
Outstanding Published Paper in 2006 Demonstrating an Application of Risk
Assessment", awarded by the Risk
Assessment Specialty Section of the Society of Toxicology, March, 2007)
Cox LA Jr. and D Babayev. Networked facilities expansion problem. International Journal of Information Technology and Decision-Making 2006 June; 5(2):379-396. http://www.worldscinet.com/ijitdm/05/0502/S0219622006002003.html
Cox
LA. Detecting
causal nonlinear exposure-response relations in epidemiological data. Dose
Response. 2006 Aug 19;4(2):119-32.
http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=2477674
Cox LA. A model of
cytotoxic dose-response nonlinearities arising from adaptive cell inventory
management in tissues. Dose Response. 2006 May 22;3(4):491-507.
http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=2477194
Cox LA Jr, Wong C. State
transition model for customer relationship management. Direct
Marketing Analytics Journal. May, 2006,
9-15.
Cox
LA. Universality of J-Shaped and U-Shaped dose-response
relations as emergent properties of stochastic transition systems. Dose-Response 2006 May 1; 3(3): 353–368.
Cox LA Jr. Enrofloxacin in poultry and human health
[letter]. Emerging Infectious Diseases.
2006 May;12(5): 872-3. http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/EID/vol12no05/05-1477_06-0305.htm
Cox LA Jr. Routine use of antibiotics in food animals
increases protein production and reduces prices [letter]. Clinical Infectious Diseases 2006 Apr 1;42(7):1053.
Cox T. Potential Human Health Impacts of
Banning Antibiotics Used in Food Animals: A Case Study of Virginiamycin. Chapter in D. Barug, J. de Jong, A.K. Kies and M.W.A. Verstegen (Eds). Antimicrobial
Growth Promoters Where Do We Go From Here?
Wageningen Academic Publishers. The
Netherlands. 2006. www.wageningenacademic.com/antimicrobial
Cox LA Jr, Popken DA. Quantifying potential human health impacts
of animal antibiotic use: Enrofloxacin and macrolides in chickens. Risk Analysis. 2006 Feb;26(1):135-46.
(Note:
The publisher has made this article available for free as one of the
most-cited Risk Analysis articles of
2005-2007,
www.blackwell-synergy.com/action/showMostCitedArticles?journalCode=risk.)
Cox LA Jr. Animal antibiotic use and human health: No expert judgment is needed
to determine that reducing cases reduces risk. Risk Analysis. 2006 Feb;26(1):157-61.
Ricci PF, Cox LA Jr, MacDonald TR. Science-policy in environmental and health
risk assessment: If we cannot do without, can we do better? Hum Exp Toxicol. 2006 Jan;25(1):29-43.
Cox LA Jr. Some limitations of a
proposed linear model for antimicrobial risk management. Risk
Analysis. 2005 Dec; 25(6): 1327-1332.
http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00703.x
Cox LA Jr, Phillips I.. Salmonella serotype
typhimurium, not antimicrobial resistance per
se, is associated with excess bloodstream infections and
hospitalizations. Letter to the Editor, Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2005 Dec 1; 192(1): 2029-2030. www.journals.uchicago.edu/
cgi-bin/resolve?id=doi:10.1086/498044
Cox LA, Babayev D. Optimization under
uncertainty via random sampling of scenarios II. Applied and Computational Mathematics,
2005;4(1): 20-28
Cox LA Jr., VanSickle JJ, Popken DA, Sahu R. Optimal tracking and testing of US and Canadian herds for BSE: A Value-of-Information (VoI) approach. Risk Analysis, 2005; 25(4): 827-840. http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00648.x
Ricci PF, Cox LA Jr, MacDonald TR. First do no harm: Can regulatory science-policy in risk
assessment be deleterious to health?
Biological Effects of Low Level Exposures (BELLE) Newsletter, 2005
July;13(10):26-37
Cox,
LA Jr. Precaution
and consequences. Letter to the
Editor. PLoS Medicine. July,
2005. http://medicine.plosjournals.org/perlserv/?request=read-response&doi=10.1371/journal.pmed.0020232
Cox
LA Jr. Parkinsonism and welding: testing for statistical vs. causal associations. Letter to the Editor. Neurology. June 29, 2005. http://www.neurology.org/cgi/eletters/64/2/230
Cox LA Jr,
Babayev D, Huber W. Some limitations of qualitative risk rating
systems. Risk Analysis, 2005
Jun;25(3):651-62
http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00615.x
Cox LA Jr,
Copeland D, Vaughn M. Antimicrobial resistance in Campylobacter. Letter to the
Editor. Emerging Infectious Diseases,
2005 June; 11(6) http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/EID/vol11no06/04-0689_05-0266.htm
Ricci PF, MacDonald TR, Cox LA Jr. Precautionary
decision making: Analysis and results. Int.
J. Risk Assessment and Management, 2005 6(2-4):237-270.
Cox LA Jr. Potential
human health benefits of antibiotics used in food animals: A case study of virginiamycin. Environment International, 2005 May;31(4):
549-563. doi:10.1016/j.envint.2004.10.012
Cox LA Jr,
Copeland D, Vaughn M.. Ciprofloxacin
resistance does not affect duration of domestically acquired
campylobacteriosis. Letter to the
Editor. Journal
of Infectious Diseases. 2005 May 1; 191(1):
1565-6. http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/JID/journal/contents/v191n9.html
Cox LA Jr, Ricci PF.. Causation in risk assessment and
management: Models, inference, biases, and a microbial risk-benefit case study.
Environ Int. 2005 Apr;31(3):377-97.
Cox, LA Jr. Predicting and optimizing customer
behaviors. Chapter 12 in A. Labbi (Ed.),
Handbook of Integrated Risk Management
for E-Business: Measuring, Modeling, and
Managing Risk. J. Ross
Publishing. February, 2005. http://www.jrosspub.com/Engine/Shopping/catalog.asp?store=12&category=351&item=2813
Cox LA, VanSickle JJ, Popken DA, Sahu R. Reply to Comment on Tracking and testing of US and Canadian cattle herds
for BSE: A risk management dilemma. CHOICES: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource
Issues. 1st Quarter,
2005. http://www.choicesmagazine.org/2005-1/comment.htm
Cox LA, Babayev D. Optimization under
uncertainty via random sampling of scenarios I.
Applied and Computational Mathematics, 2004
December;3(2):95-106.
http://www.science.az/acm/2004_2/abstractpdf/babayev_95-106.pdf
Popken, DA
and LA Cox. A
simulation-optimization approach to air warfare planning. Journal
of Defense Modeling and Simulation,
1(3), 127-140. December, 2004. http://www.scs.org/pubs/jdms/vol1number3/Popken.pdf
Ricci PF, Cox LA Jr, MacDonald TR. Precautionary
principles: a jurisdiction-free framework for decision-making under risk. Human Experimental Toxicology 2004 Dec;23(12):579-600. Previously published in BELLE (Biological Effects of Low Level
Exposures) Newsletter. 2004 Sep;12(2):13-33. http://www.belleonline.com/BELLE_09_04F.pdf
Cox LA, VanSickle JJ, Popken DA, Sahu R. Tracking and testing of US and Canadian cattle herds for BSE: A risk
management dilemma. CHOICES: The Magazine of Food,
Farm, and Resource Issues. 4th
Quarter, 2004, 51-4. http://www.choicesmagazine.org/2004-4/grabbag/2004-4-12.htm
Cox LA Jr. Domestically acquired fluoroquinolone-resistant Campylobacter infection.
Letter to the Editor. Clin Infect Dis. 2004 Nov 1;39(9):1399-1400.
http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/CID/journal/issues/v39n9/34073/34073.html,
www.cdc.gov/narms/publications/2004/CoxKass__2004.pdf
Cox LA Jr, Popken DA.. Bayesian
Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis of human health risks from animal
antimicrobial use in a dynamic model of emerging resistance. Risk Analysis, 24, 5, October 2004.
1153-1164. (Winner, Society for Risk
Analysis, 2003 Best Paper Award. http://www.sra.org/newsletter/news0204.pdf)
Cox LA Jr. Campylobacter risk data out of date? Letter to the
Editor. Comprehensive Reviews in Food
Science and Food Safety. 3, October, 2004. http://www.ift.org/pdfs/crfsfs/crfsfsv3n4p0125-0126.pdf, http://members.ift.org/NR/rdonlyres/A116915E-BDC5-4E31-9B40-2771D8545C2B/0/crfsfsv3n4p01250126.pdf
Phillips I, Casewell M, Cox T, De Groot B, Friis C, Jones R, Nightingale C, Preston R, Waddell J. Does the use of antibiotics in food animals pose a risk to human health? A reply to critics. J Antimicrob Chemother. 2004 May 12. http://jac.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/full/54/1/276
Cox LA Jr, Popken DA. Quantifying
human health risks from virginiamycin used in chickens. Risk Analysis 24, 1. February, 2004. 271-88. (Finalist, Society for Risk Analysis,
2002 Best Paper Award.)
Phillips I, Casewell M, Cox T, De Groot
B, Friis C, Jones R, Nightingale C, Preston R, Waddell J. Does the use of antibiotics in food
animals pose a risk to human health? A critical review of published data. J Antimicrob Chemother. 2004
Jan;53(1):28-52.
http://jac.oupjournals.org/cgi/content/full/53/1/28#DKG483TB2
Bafundo KW, Cox LA, Jr., Bywater R,
2003. Causal animal antibiotic-foodborne illness relationship
explored. Feedstuffs. June 30, 2003. p. 8 (Invited Letter to the Editor).
Cox
LA Jr. Mortality associated with foodborne bacterial gastrointestinal
infections: Statistical method is worth examining. BMJ.
2003 Jun 7;326(7401):1265. Rapid Response
Letter. http://bmj.com/cgi/eletters/326/7385/357#29767
Bafundo KW, Cox LA, Jr., Bywater R,
2003. The use of virginiamycin in food animal production. Feedstuffs. Jan. 20, 2003. 26-27. (Letter to the Editor)
Lipscomb
JC, Teuschler LK, Swartout J, Popken D, Cox T, Kedderis GL.. The
impact of Cytochrome P450 2E1-dependent metabolic variance on a risk-relevant
pharmacokinetic outcome in humans. Risk
Analysis 2003 Dec;23(6):1221-38.
Ricci
PF, Rice D, Ziagos J, Cox LA.
Precaution, uncertainty and causation in environmental decisions. Environ Int. 2003 Apr;29(1):1-19.
Cox
Cox LA, Popken, DA, 2002. Quantifying
human health impacts of animal antibiotics: Risk management alternatives for
enrofloxacin. Winner, Society for Risk
Analysis Best Paper Award, December, 2002.
www.sra.org/news0203.pdf
Cox, LA, Popken
DA, 2002. A simulation model of human health risks from
chicken-borne Campylobacter jejuni. Technology,
9:55-84.
https://www.cognizantcommunication.com/cccSiteFiles/Technology/tech91abs.html
Cox, L.A. Jr., 2002. Data mining and causal modeling of
customer behaviors. Telecommunications Systems. 21(2-4):349-381.
http://www.mgmt.purdue.edu/faculty/kemal/telecomm/boca2000contents.pdf
Cox, L.A., Jr.,
and Popken, D.A., 2002. A hybrid
system-identification method for forecasting telecommunications product
demands. International Journal of
Forecasting
Volume 18, Issue 4, October-December 2002, Pages 647-671
Ricci, PF and Cox, LA 2002. Empirical
causation and biases in epidemiology:
Issues and solutions. Technology, 9:23-53.
http://www.cognizantcommunication.com/filecabinet/Technology/tech91abs.html#tech91abs3
Byrd DM, Cox, JA, Jr., Wilson, JM,
2001. Tracking antibiotics up the food
chain. Letter to the Editor, Science,
291, 30 March, 2001, p. 2550. http://www.pmac.net/AM/tracking.html
Cox, L.A.,
Jr., J.R. Sanchez, and Lu, L., 2001. Cost
savings from optimized packing and grooming of optical circuits: Mesh vs.
ring comparisons. Optical Networks
Magazine, May-June, 72-90.
Cox, L.A. Jr., 2001. Forecasting demand
for telecommunications products from cross-sectional data. Telecommunications Systems, 16:3, 439-456.
Cox, L.A., Jr., 2000. A biomathematical model of cyclophosphamide
hematotoxicity. Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part A, 61:5-6,
501-510 (pp. 501-552 with dicussions).
November, 2000.
Cox, L.A., Jr., Chiu, W.A., Hassenzahl,
D.M., Kammen, D.M., 2000. Low dose
responses: Response to
Cox, L.A., Jr., and J.R. Sanchez, 2000. Designing least-cost survivable wireless backhaul networks.
Journal of Heuristics, 6, 525-540.
Chiu, S.Y., L.A. Cox, Jr., X. Sun, 1999.
Optimal sequential inspections of reliability systems subject to
parallel-chain precedence constraints. Discrete Applied Mathematics Vol. 96-97
(1-3), pp. 327-336.
Cox, L.A., Jr., 1999. A biomathematical model of
hematotoxicity. Environment International, 25,
6/7, September, 805-817.
Cox, L.A., Jr., 1999. Internal dose, uncertainty analysis, and
complexity of risk models. Environment International, 25, 6/7, September, 841-852.
Cox, L.A., Jr., 1999. Adaptive spatial sampling of contaminated
soil. Risk Analysis, 19, 6,
1059-1069.
Cox,
L.A., Jr., K. Paige, D. Popken, 1999.
Software review of Analytica 1.2. Human
and Ecological Risk Assessment, 5,
2, 305-316.
Lu, L., SY Chiu, and LA Cox, Jr.
1999. Optimal project selection: Stochastic
knapsack with finite time horizon. Journal of the Operational Research Society. 50, 645-650.
Ricci PF, Cox
LA, Jr. Empirical and theoretical analysis of the variability of maximum
likelihood estimates of benzene cancer risks. Environment International,
25: 745 - 754 1999.
Fraughnaugh, K., J. Ryan, H. Zullo,
Davis, L.,
Cox, L.A., Jr., 1997.
Does diesel exhaust cause human lung cancer? Risk
Analysis, 17, 6, 807-829.
Cox, L.A., Jr., 1996.
Reassessing benzene risks using internal doses and Monte-Carlo
uncertainty analysis. Environmental Health Perspectives, 104, Supplement 6, 1413-1429.
Cox, L.A., Jr., 1996. Using
causal knowledge to learn more useful decision rules from data.
Chapter 2 in D. Fisher and H.-J. Lenz (eds), Learning from Data: AI and
Statistics V. Springer-Verlag,
1996. http://citeseer.ist.psu.edu/65301.html
Cox,
L.A., Jr., 1996. More accurate estimates of dose-response
functions using Monte-Carlo uncertainty analysis: The Data Cube approach. Human
and Ecological Risk Assessment, 2,
1, 146-170.
Cox, L.A., Jr., and G. Bell, 1996. A machine-learning approach to process
improvement in a telecommunications company.
Annals of Operations Research, 65, 21-34.
Cox, L.A., Jr., M.G. Bird, and L.
Griffis, 1996. Isoprene cancer risk and
the time pattern of dose adminstration. Toxicology, 113, 263-272.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/htbin-post/Entrez/query?uid=8901907&form=6&db=m&Dopt=b
Cox, L.A., Jr., L. Davis, L. Lu, D.
Orvosh, X. Sun, D. Sirovica, 1996.
Reducing costs of backhaul networks for PCS companies using genetic
algorithms. Journal of Heuristics, 2,
1-16.
Cox, L.A., Jr., S. Chiu, and X. Sun,
1996. Least-cost failure diagnosis in
uncertain reliability systems. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 54,
2-3, 203-316.
Chiu, S., L. Lu, and L.A. Cox, Jr.,
1996. Optimal access control for
broadband services: Stochastic knapsack
with advance information. European
Journal of Operational Research, 89, 127-134.
Placke, M.E., L. Griffis, M. Bird, J.
Bus, R.L. Persing, L.A. Cox, Jr., 1996. Chronic inhalation oncogenicity study
of isoprene in B6C3F1 mice. Toxicology, 110, 253-262.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=8901906&dopt=Abstract
Schnatter, A.R., M.G. Bird, L.A. Cox,
Jr., and R.F. Herrick, 1996. Defining
optimal exposure assessment methods and metrics for epidemiologic studies
exposures of petroleum distribution workers to benzene. Occupational
Hygiene, 155-160.
Sun, X., Qiu, Y., and Cox,
Cox, L.A., Jr., 1995. Simple relations between administered and
internal doses in compartmental flow models, Risk Analysis, 15, 2,
197-204.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=7604169&dopt=Abstract
Cox, L.A., Jr., 1995. An exact analysis of the multistage model
explaining dose-response concavity, Risk
Analysis, 15, 3, 359-368.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/htbin-post/Entrez/query?uid=7604169&form=6&db=m&Dopt=b
Grover, R.W., and L.A. Cox,
Jr., 1995. Dynamic site portfolio
remediation optimization model, Hazardous
Waste Strategies Update, 6, 4, 31 - 39.
Cox LA,
Cox, L.A., Jr., and Y. Qiu. Optimal inspection and repair of renewable
coherent systems with independent components and constant failure rates, Naval Research Logistics, 41, 771-788, 1994.
Cox,
Cox LA Jr, Ricci
PF. Dose-response nonlinearities for benzene
revisited: a reply to Crump et al. Risk Analysis 1993 Oct;13(5):485-6.
Cox,
Cox,
Cox, L.A., Jr., W. Kuehner, S.H. Parrish,
and Y. Qiu, 1993. Optimal expansion of
fiber-optic telecommunications networks in metropolitan areas, Interfaces, 23, 2, 35-48,
March-April, 1993.
Qiu, Y., and L.A. Cox, Jr.,
Heuristic testing procedures for general coherent systems, European Journal of Operational Research, 69, 65-74, 1993.
Cox, L.A., Jr., Extending
the stochastic two-stage model of carcinogenesis to include self-regulation of
the non-malignant cell population, Risk Analysis, 12, 1, 129-138, 1992.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=1410709&dopt=Abstract
Cox, L.A., Jr., and P.F.
Ricci, Reassessing benzene cancer risks using internal doses, Risk Analysis, 12, 3, 401-410, 1992.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=1410709&dopt=Abstract
Cox, L.A., Jr., and P.F.
Ricci, Dealing with uncertainty: From
health risk assessment to environmental decision making, Journal of Energy Engineering, 118,
2, 77-94, 1992. http://www.pubs.asce.org/WWWdisplay.cgi?9203780
Cox, L.A., Jr., Y. Qiu, and
L. Davis, Guess-and-verify heuristics for reducing uncertainties in expert
classification systems, in D. Dubois et al (eds), Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence. Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo, CA, 1992.
Parrish, S.H., L.A. Cox,
Jr., Y. Qiu, and W. Kuehner, 1992.
Planning for optimal expansion of leased line communication
networks, Annals of Operations Research, 36,
347-364.
Cox, L.A., Jr., Biological basis of
carcinogenesis: Insights from benzene, Risk Analysis, 11,
3, 453-464, 1991.
Cox, L.A., L. Davis, and Y.
Qiu, 1991. Dynamic anticipatory routing
in circuit-switched telecommunications networks, pages 124-143 in L. Davis
(ed), Handbook of Genetic
Algorithms.
Cox,
Hermansky, H., and Cox,
L.A., Jr., Perceptual linear predictive (PLP) analysis-resynthesis technique, Eurospeech 91, 2nd European Conference on
Speech Communication and Technology.
http://www.isca-speech.org/archive/eurospeech_1991/e91_0329.html
Cox, L.A., Jr., Uncertain
temporal logics for risk analysis, pp 1-13 in B.J. Garrick and W.C. Gekler
(eds), The Analysis, Communication, and
Perception of Risk. (Volume 8 in Advances in Risk Assessment series.)
Plenum Press,
Cox,
Cox,
Cox,
Cox, L.A., Jr., Pragmatic information-seeking strategies
in expert classification systems,
in D. Brown and C. White (eds), Operations
Research and Artificial Intelligence:
The Integration of Problem-Solving Strategies.
Cox,
Cox, L.A., Jr., A probabilistic risk assessment program
for analyzing security risks,
pp 331-340 in L.A. Cox, Jr., and P.F. Ricci (eds), New
Risks: Issues and Management. Plenum Press,
Cox,
Cox, L.A., and P.F. Ricci,
Legal and philosophical aspects of risk analysis, Chapter 30 in D.J. Paustenbach (ed), The Risk Assessment of Environmental and
Human Health Hazards: A Textbook of Case
Studies. Wiley,
Cox,
Cox, L.A., Jr., Y. Qiu, and
W. Kuehner, Heuristic least-cost computation of discrete classification functions with uncertain
argument values, Annals of Operations Research,
21, 1-30, 1989.
Ricci, P.F., L.A. Cox, Jr., and J.P. Dwyer, Acceptable
cancer risks: Probabilities and
beyond, J. Air Pollution Control Association (JAPCA), 39, 8, 1046-1053,
1989.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=2677256&dopt=Abstract
Cox,
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=3365220&dopt=Abstract
Cox, L.A., Jr.,
Statistical issues in the estimation of assigned shares for carcinogenesis
liability, Risk Analysis, 7, 1,
71-80, 1987.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=3615994&dopt=Abstract
Cox, L.A., Jr.,
Economic theory of compensation rule design for probabilistic injuries. In Lester B. Lave (Ed.), Risk Assessment and Management.
Plenum Press, 1987. 407-420.
Ricci, P.F., and L.A. Cox,
Jr., Acceptability of chronic health risks,
Toxics Law Reporter, 1, 35, 986-1001, 1987.
Ricci, P.F., L.A.
Cox, Jr., and M. Baram, De minimis considerations in health risk assessment, J. Hazardous Materials, 15, 1987.
Cox,
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=3602509&dopt=Abstract
Cox,
Cummings, R.G., L.A. Cox,
Jr., and A. Myrick Freeman, III, General methods for benefits assessment, Chapter 6 in J.D. Bentkover et al (eds), Benefits Assessment: The State of the Art. Reidel,
Fischoff, B., and L.A. Cox,
Jr., Conceptual framework for regulatory benefits assessment, Chapter 4 in J.D. Bentkover et al. (eds), Benefits Assessment: The State
of the Art. Reidel,
Cox, L.A., Jr., A new
measure of attributable risk for public health applications, Management
Science, 31, 7, 800-814, 1985
Cox,
Cox,
Fiksel, J., and L.A.
Cox, Jr., The process analysis approach, in P.F. Ricci and M.D. Rowe (eds), Assessing Health Impacts of Energy
Technologies at the National and Regional Levels.
Cox, L.A., Jr., Probability
of causation and the attributable proportion of risk. Risk
Analysis, 4, 221-230, September,
1984.
Cox, L.A., Jr., and
J. Fiksel. Quantifying the causes of
cancer. Letter to the Editor, Risk Management, July, 1984.
Cox, L.A., Jr., J. Fiksel,
A.S. Kalelkar, and P.F. Ricci.
Occupational risks of energy production.
Nuclear Safety, 24, 4, 459-470, 1983.
Fiksel, J., L.A. Cox, Jr.,
D.L. Richardson, and A. Adamantiades, Selection of nuclear safety R&D
projects through value-impact analysis, Nuclear Safety, 24,
1, 1983.
Cox,
Murray,
PUBLISHED
CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS
Popken, DA and LA Cox. Model
identification and optimization for operational simulation. In Enabling
Technologies for Simulation Science VII, Alex F Sisti and Dawn A Trevisani,
Editors, Proceedings of SPIE Vol. 5091, 294-303. 2003.
Cox, LA and Bafundo KW. Health risks from virginiamycin use in
chickens. Poultry Digest Online. 3, 6.
2002. http://www.wattnet.com/Library/DownLoad/PD6virgin.pdf
Cox,
L. A., M. Laguna, B. Melián, J. A. Moreno-Pérez, and J. Sanchez (2001). Optimizing placement and sizing of wave
division multiplexing and optical cross-connect equipment. Proceedings of the 9th International
Conference on Telecommunication
Systems, Modeling and Analysis, pp. 98-107.
2001
Cox,
Cox,
L.A., Jr., “Predicting and optimizing customer behaviors.” In Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Telecommunications Systems:
Modeling and Analysis.
Cox, L.A., Jr., "Causal
mechanisms and classification trees for predicting chemical carcinogens."
In David Heckerman and Joe Whittaker (editors). Proceedings of the Seventh International Workshop on Artificial
Intelligence and Statistics. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, Inc.,
Cox,
Cox,